Buffalo

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.1%Buffalo

69.9%Butler

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADButler -6.1

PROJECTED TOTAL159.0

MODEL MONEYLINEButler -232

Butler

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBuffalo 76

Projected Total159.0

Projected ScoreButler 83

Team Comparison

BuffaloMetricButler

49.7MMH Power Index52.7

114.9Offensive Efficiency111.7

112.2Defensive Efficiency109.1

2.7Net Efficiency2.6

0.0Strength of Schedule3.1

-5.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.5

67.9Tempo71.1

56.1%Effective FG%51.2%

16.1%Turnover Rate15.9%

27.6%Offensive Rebound %34.4%

40.4%Free Throw Rate42.9%

1.8Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Butler HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMButler holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.7–49.7), defensive efficiency (109.1–112.2), strength of schedule (3.1–0.0), ball security (15.9–16.1).

Buffalo COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (114.9–111.7), net efficiency (2.7–2.6), recent form (-5.9–-8.5).

Final

Buffalo

59—72

Butler

Butler by 13 • 70.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BuffaloTEAM STATButler

24-62FG30-67

39.0%FG%45.0%

6-263PT5-24

23.0%3PT%21.0%

5-8FT7-10

63.0%FT%70.0%

36Rebounds37

10Offensive Rebounds12

11Assists18

14Turnovers11

8Steals10

10Blocks4

11Fouls9

Player Box Score

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sy Chatman	Forward	23	7-11	2-4	0-2	8	1	2	2	16
Anquan Boldin Jr.	G	38	3-7	1-2	3-4	6	3	0	0	10
Shawn Fulcher	Guard	34	4-14	0-7	0-0	3	2	2	1	8
Ryan Sabol	G	26	2-10	2-8	0-0	0	1	0	0	6
Kanye Jones	G	17	3-8	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	1	6
Lloyd McVeigh	Guard	20	2-4	1-3	0-0	3	2	2	1	5
Jonnivius Smith	Forward	24	1-4	0-0	2-2	7	2	1	3	4
Zaakir Williamson	F	16	2-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	2	4
Bryson Wilson	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Butler

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jahmyl Telfort	Forward	34	8-16	0-2	2-2	9	8	4	1	18
Jalen Thomas	Forward	32	8-15	0-0	2-2	10	1	0	1	18
Pierre Brooks II	Forward	34	7-14	3-8	0-0	2	0	0	1	17
Posh Alexander	Guard	32	3-6	0-1	2-4	7	6	3	0	8
Finley Bizjack	G	13	2-4	2-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Andre Screen	Center	8	1-1	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	1	3
DJ Davis	Guard	25	1-7	0-5	0-0	2	3	3	0	2
Landon Moore	G	18	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Connor Turnbull	F	4	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.3Possessions70.3

83.9Offensive Efficiency102.4

102.4Defensive Efficiency83.9

-18.5Net Efficiency18.5

43.5%Effective FG%48.5%

44.8%True Shooting %50.2%

20.1%Turnover Rate15.5%

12.9%Free Throw Rate14.9%

41.9%3-Point Rate35.8%

0.79Assist / Turnover1.64

Game Summary

Butler won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 70.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.