Indiana

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.6%Indiana

95.4%Michigan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan -20.6

PROJECTED TOTAL156.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan -2074

Michigan

36-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana 68

Projected Total156.9

Projected ScoreMichigan 89

Team Comparison

IndianaMetricMichigan

58.2MMH Power Index80.9

116.0Offensive Efficiency122.3

107.1Defensive Efficiency97.0

8.9Net Efficiency25.3

5.2Strength of Schedule8.7

-7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency17.2

67.4Tempo71.8

56.0%Effective FG%58.8%

15.1%Turnover Rate16.4%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %34.6%

35.8%Free Throw Rate38.9%

6.0Average Margin18.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (80.9–58.2), offensive efficiency (122.3–116.0), defensive efficiency (97.0–107.1), net efficiency (25.3–8.9).

Indiana COUNTERS WITHball security (15.1–16.4).

Final

Indiana

78—75

Michigan

Indiana by 3 • 72.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IndianaTEAM STATMichigan

30-58FG26-55

52.0%FG%47.0%

3-93PT4-17

33.0%3PT%24.0%

15-21FT19-24

71.0%FT%79.0%

30Rebounds30

9Offensive Rebounds8

7Assists8

13Turnovers14

8Steals4

4Blocks2

19Fouls21

Player Box Score

Indiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Reneau	F	33	6-11	0-0	3-4	6	0	0	2	15
Kel'el Ware	Center	24	6-10	0-1	1-2	8	1	1	1	13
Mackenzie Mgbako	F	24	4-6	1-2	2-2	4	0	0	0	11
Trey Galloway	Guard	31	3-12	0-3	3-6	0	2	1	0	9
CJ Gunn	G	20	2-6	2-3	2-2	2	0	4	1	8
Anthony Walker	Forward	14	4-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	8
Kaleb Banks	F	13	3-5	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	6
Payton Sparks	Center	9	2-3	0-0	2-3	1	0	0	0	6
Gabe Cupps	G	32	0-1	0-0	2-2	2	2	1	0	2

Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Olivier Nkamhoua	Forward	35	8-16	0-1	2-2	5	2	0	1	18
Will Tschetter	F	22	6-7	1-2	4-5	6	1	0	0	17
Dug McDaniel	G	38	3-14	0-4	7-10	3	2	2	0	13
Terrance Williams II	F	33	4-8	2-5	0-0	2	0	1	0	10
Tray Jackson	Not Available	19	2-3	0-1	1-1	5	0	0	0	5
Tarris Reed Jr.	C	18	2-2	0-0	1-2	3	0	1	1	5
Nimari Burnett	G	27	0-4	0-3	4-4	1	3	0	0	4
Jaelin Llewellyn	Guard	8	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

72.2Possessions72.2

108.0Offensive Efficiency103.9

103.9Defensive Efficiency108.0

4.2Net Efficiency-4.2

54.3%Effective FG%50.9%

57.4%True Shooting %56.5%

18.1%Turnover Rate19.3%

36.2%Free Throw Rate43.6%

15.5%3-Point Rate30.9%

0.54Assist / Turnover0.57

Game Summary

Indiana won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 72.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.