Oklahoma State

20-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.7%Oklahoma State

65.3%Southern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Illinois -5.5

PROJECTED TOTAL157.7

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Illinois -188

Southern Illinois

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOklahoma State 76

Projected Total157.7

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 82

Team Comparison

Oklahoma StateMetricSouthern Illinois

53.5MMH Power Index54.6

112.1Offensive Efficiency103.4

111.2Defensive Efficiency98.5

0.9Net Efficiency4.9

6.1Strength of Schedule1.6

-8.5Last 10 Net Efficiency7.7

74.8Tempo70.6

52.2%Effective FG%49.5%

15.8%Turnover Rate17.0%

30.5%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

40.3%Free Throw Rate32.3%

0.7Average Margin3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Illinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.6–53.5), defensive efficiency (98.5–111.2), net efficiency (4.9–0.9), recent form (7.7–-8.5).

Oklahoma State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (112.1–103.4), strength of schedule (6.1–1.6), shooting efficiency (52.2–49.5).

Final

Oklahoma State

68—70

Southern Illinois

Southern Illinois by 2 • 63.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Oklahoma StateTEAM STATSouthern Illinois

26-67FG23-49

39.0%FG%47.0%

7-243PT7-15

29.0%3PT%47.0%

9-11FT17-22

82.0%FT%77.0%

43Rebounds24

20Offensive Rebounds6

12Assists14

12Turnovers9

4Steals6

5Blocks3

18Fouls19

Player Box Score

Oklahoma State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javon Small	Guard	35	7-15	3-6	8-8	2	4	1	1	25
Jarius Hicklen	Guard	22	4-9	4-8	0-0	1	0	0	0	12
Quion Williams	G	30	5-10	0-2	0-0	10	1	1	0	10
Bryce Thompson	Guard	31	3-13	0-5	0-0	1	0	1	0	6
Eric Dailey Jr.	F	23	2-7	0-2	1-2	4	2	0	1	5
Brandon Garrison	F	21	2-5	0-0	0-1	10	0	1	2	4
Jamyron Keller	G	14	2-5	0-1	0-0	4	2	0	0	4
Mike Marsh	Center	17	1-3	0-0	0-0	4	3	0	1	2
Connor Dow	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
John-Michael Wright	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Xavier Johnson	Guard	36	9-22	1-5	13-15	3	5	2	0	32
Clarence Rupert	Forward	32	5-10	0-1	3-5	5	2	0	0	13
Trent Brown	Guard	38	4-5	4-5	0-0	0	2	0	0	12
Jovan Stulic	Guard	15	2-3	1-1	0-0	1	0	2	0	5
Kennard Davis Jr.	G	35	1-3	1-2	1-2	8	1	2	0	4
Troy D'Amico	Forward	32	1-4	0-1	0-0	3	2	0	2	2
Scottie Ebube	C	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	2
Trey Miller	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.4Possessions63.4

107.3Offensive Efficiency110.4

110.4Defensive Efficiency107.3

-3.2Net Efficiency3.2

44.0%Effective FG%54.1%

47.1%True Shooting %58.9%

18.7%Turnover Rate14.4%

16.4%Free Throw Rate44.9%

35.8%3-Point Rate30.6%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.56

Game Summary

Southern Illinois won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 63.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.