Idaho State

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.5%Idaho State

65.5%Fresno State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFresno State -5.5

PROJECTED TOTAL149.7

MODEL MONEYLINEFresno State -190

Fresno State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho State 72

Projected Total149.7

Projected ScoreFresno State 78

Team Comparison

Idaho StateMetricFresno State

45.9MMH Power Index47.1

111.0Offensive Efficiency104.9

113.4Defensive Efficiency104.9

-2.4Net Efficiency0.0

0.2Strength of Schedule1.5

-9.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.0

67.1Tempo69.4

52.2%Effective FG%51.3%

16.5%Turnover Rate18.2%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

39.1%Free Throw Rate35.5%

-1.6Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fresno State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFresno State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.1–45.9), defensive efficiency (104.9–113.4), net efficiency (0.0–-2.4), strength of schedule (1.5–0.2).

Idaho State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (111.0–104.9), shooting efficiency (52.2–51.3), ball security (16.5–18.2).

Final

Idaho State

67—79

Fresno State

Fresno State by 12 • 68.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Idaho StateTEAM STATFresno State

26-58FG29-55

45.0%FG%53.0%

7-263PT3-11

27.0%3PT%27.0%

8-15FT18-23

53.0%FT%78.0%

29Rebounds35

10Offensive Rebounds10

11Assists17

12Turnovers14

6Steals8

5Blocks—

21Fouls19

Player Box Score

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brayden Parker	Center	30	8-14	4-9	1-2	5	1	2	2	21
Kiree Huie	F	37	8-11	0-0	1-5	7	0	0	1	17
Miguel Tomley	Guard	34	5-12	3-8	0-0	3	3	1	1	13
Maleek Arington	G	33	1-6	0-2	5-5	4	3	2	0	7
Isaiah Griffin	F	32	2-8	0-2	1-3	6	2	0	0	5
Kolton Mitchell	G	14	2-4	0-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	4
Trent Johnson	F	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	1	0
AJ Burgin	Guard	7	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Eduardo Andre	Center	30	7-12	0-0	2-3	7	3	1	16
Isaac Taveras	G	14	5-5	0-0	3-5	1	0	2	13
Leo Colimerio	Forward	22	5-8	0-1	1-2	3	4	2	11
Isaiah Hill	Guard	35	2-9	0-2	5-5	5	4	1	9
Enoch Boakye	Forward	16	4-6	0-0	0-1	5	0	0	8
Donavan Yap	Guard	24	1-2	1-1	4-4	1	5	0	7
Xavier DuSell	Guard	26	2-4	2-4	0-0	3	0	0	6
Jalen Weaver	Guard	16	2-6	0-2	1-1	1	1	2	5
Isaiah Pope	Guard	15	1-3	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	4
Pierre Geneste Jr.	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.5Possessions68.5

97.8Offensive Efficiency115.3

115.3Defensive Efficiency97.8

-17.5Net Efficiency17.5

50.9%Effective FG%55.5%

51.4%True Shooting %59.9%

17.9%Turnover Rate20.0%

25.9%Free Throw Rate41.8%

44.8%3-Point Rate20.0%

0.92Assist / Turnover1.21

Game Summary

Fresno State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 68.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.