Penn State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.0%Penn State

67.0%Maryland

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMaryland -5.2

PROJECTED TOTAL151.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMaryland -203

Maryland

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePenn State 73

Projected Total151.1

Projected ScoreMaryland 78

Team Comparison

Penn StateMetricMaryland

42.3MMH Power Index44.1

109.2Offensive Efficiency104.5

117.6Defensive Efficiency113.6

-8.4Net Efficiency-9.1

5.3Strength of Schedule5.2

-20.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.7

67.5Tempo66.7

53.4%Effective FG%48.6%

15.6%Turnover Rate18.8%

25.6%Offensive Rebound %34.0%

34.6%Free Throw Rate38.9%

-5.7Average Margin-6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Penn State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPenn State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (109.2–104.5), net efficiency (-8.4–-9.1), strength of schedule (5.3–5.2), shooting efficiency (53.4–48.6).

Maryland COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (44.1–42.3), defensive efficiency (113.6–117.6), recent form (-9.7–-20.8).

Final

Penn State

75—81

Maryland

Maryland by 6 • 76.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Penn StateTEAM STATMaryland

24-62FG23-67

39.0%FG%34.0%

8-253PT5-25

32.0%3PT%20.0%

19-21FT30-39

90.0%FT%77.0%

31Rebounds53

9Offensive Rebounds23

12Assists9

12Turnovers16

9Steals7

5Blocks3

30Fouls22

Player Box Score

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kanye Clary	G	41	8-17	2-5	7-7	4	2	1	0	25
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	37	3-13	1-5	9-9	0	5	2	0	16
Zach Hicks	Forward	34	3-10	3-9	0-0	1	1	2	0	9
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	33	4-7	0-0	1-2	8	4	0	2	9
Leo O'Boyle	Forward	19	2-4	2-4	1-1	0	0	1	0	7
Qudus Wahab	Forward	28	3-5	0-0	0-0	9	0	1	3	6
Demetrius Lilley	C	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
RayQuawndis Mitchell	Guard	11	0-1	0-0	1-2	3	0	1	0	1
Puff Johnson	G	13	0-4	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Maryland

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jahmir Young	Guard	44	7-19	2-7	12-12	8	3	1	0	28
Julian Reese	Forward	41	7-11	0-0	10-15	15	2	1	0	24
Jamie Kaiser Jr.	F	28	2-8	2-7	4-4	3	0	4	0	10
DeShawn Harris-Smith	G	36	2-6	0-1	3-5	8	4	1	0	7
Jordan Geronimo	Forward	36	2-8	0-3	0-0	4	0	0	2	4
Donta Scott	Forward	28	2-11	0-4	0-1	10	0	0	1	4
Jahari Long	G	10	1-4	1-3	1-2	0	0	0	0	4
Noah Batchelor	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.8Possessions76.8

97.7Offensive Efficiency105.5

105.5Defensive Efficiency97.7

-7.8Net Efficiency7.8

45.2%Effective FG%38.1%

52.1%True Shooting %47.4%

16.0%Turnover Rate20.4%

33.9%Free Throw Rate58.2%

40.3%3-Point Rate37.3%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.56

Game Summary

Maryland won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 76.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.