Valparaiso

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

53.7%Valparaiso

46.3%Central Michigan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADValparaiso -0.5

PROJECTED TOTAL148.1

MODEL MONEYLINEValparaiso -116

Central Michigan

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreValparaiso 74

Projected Total148.1

Projected ScoreCentral Michigan 74

Team Comparison

ValparaisoMetricCentral Michigan

49.9MMH Power Index44

106.6Offensive Efficiency105.9

105.8Defensive Efficiency111.0

0.8Net Efficiency-5.1

0.3Strength of Schedule-0.5

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency1.3

67.5Tempo69.3

48.7%Effective FG%52.6%

15.6%Turnover Rate18.3%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

40.0%Free Throw Rate32.9%

0.5Average Margin-3.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Valparaiso HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMValparaiso holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.9–44.0), offensive efficiency (106.6–105.9), defensive efficiency (105.8–111.0), net efficiency (0.8–-5.1).

Central Michigan COUNTERS WITHrecent form (1.3–-0.1), shooting efficiency (52.6–48.7).

Final

Valparaiso

67—71

Central Michigan

Central Michigan by 4 • 68.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ValparaisoTEAM STATCentral Michigan

24-61FG27-64

39.0%FG%42.0%

9-243PT9-21

38.0%3PT%43.0%

10-12FT8-17

83.0%FT%47.0%

36Rebounds44

12Offensive Rebounds18

14Assists14

14Turnovers14

7Steals7

4Blocks3

18Fouls11

Player Box Score

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Stafford	G	32	7-19	3-9	6-7	3	2	1	0	23
Sherman Weatherspoon IV	G	15	5-8	3-4	0-0	0	0	1	0	13
Jaxon Edwards	G	31	3-12	2-6	0-0	6	2	0	3	8
Darius DeAveiro	Guard	34	2-5	1-3	1-1	1	7	2	0	6
Kaspar Sepp	F	22	3-5	0-0	0-0	12	2	1	1	6
Ola Ajiboye	F	29	2-4	0-0	1-2	7	1	1	0	5
Cooper Schwieger	F	20	1-5	0-1	2-2	6	0	0	0	4
Jerome Palm	F	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Anthony Sciarroni	Guard	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Central Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Derrick Butler	Guard	33	9-14	4-7	2-4	6	2	1	0	24
Markus Harding	C	27	5-8	1-1	2-5	7	0	0	1	13
Brian Taylor	Guard	36	4-13	2-3	2-2	5	2	3	0	12
Anthony Pritchard	Guard	35	5-11	0-0	2-5	6	4	1	1	12
Cayden Vasko	G	27	2-5	1-3	0-1	7	3	0	0	5
Shaedon Simpson	G	11	2-5	1-4	0-0	1	1	1	1	5
Jemal Davis	Forward	18	0-6	0-1	0-0	3	2	1	0	0
Paul McMillan IV	G	12	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Hunter Harding	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.4Possessions68.4

98.0Offensive Efficiency103.8

103.8Defensive Efficiency98.0

-5.8Net Efficiency5.8

46.7%Effective FG%49.2%

50.2%True Shooting %49.3%

20.4%Turnover Rate20.6%

19.7%Free Throw Rate26.6%

39.3%3-Point Rate32.8%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Central Michigan won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 68.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.