Wagner

14-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

78.9%Wagner

21.1%Coppin State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWagner -9.2

PROJECTED TOTAL145.2

MODEL MONEYLINEWagner -374

Coppin State

7-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWagner 77

Projected Total145.2

Projected ScoreCoppin State 68

Team Comparison

WagnerMetricCoppin State

42.9MMH Power Index26.5

105.5Offensive Efficiency94.0

106.1Defensive Efficiency115.4

-0.6Net Efficiency-21.4

-5.0Strength of Schedule-2.4

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.2

67.6Tempo69.7

50.2%Effective FG%46.5%

18.9%Turnover Rate22.1%

34.0%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

31.6%Free Throw Rate39.0%

-0.4Average Margin-14.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wagner HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWagner holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.9–26.5), offensive efficiency (105.5–94.0), defensive efficiency (106.1–115.4), net efficiency (-0.6–-21.4).

Coppin State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.4–-5.0), free throw rate (39.0–31.6).

Final

Wagner

62—59

Coppin State

Wagner by 3 • 65.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WagnerTEAM STATCoppin State

21-57FG21-50

37.0%FG%42.0%

6-243PT5-14

25.0%3PT%36.0%

14-19FT12-12

74.0%FT%100.0%

35Rebounds30

14Offensive Rebounds7

9Assists12

13Turnovers18

9Steals10

3Blocks3

12Fouls14

Player Box Score

Wagner

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zaire Williams	G	36	7-13	4-9	3-3	2	2	2	0	21
Melvin Council Jr.	G	32	6-14	1-4	0-2	0	1	4	1	13
Keyontae Lewis	F	25	2-8	0-0	7-8	11	0	0	1	11
Di'Andre Howell-South	G	27	3-5	0-1	4-5	6	2	1	0	10
Rob Taylor II	F	15	2-4	0-0	0-1	3	0	0	1	4
Seck Zongo	F	3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Javier Ezquerra	G	37	0-5	0-4	0-0	4	3	1	0	0
Tyje Kelton	F	18	0-3	0-2	0-0	5	1	1	0	0
Julian Brown	Guard	7	0-4	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Coppin State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Preist Ryan	F	30	8-15	1-1	1-1	5	3	1	1	18
Justin Winston	Forward	33	4-12	1-5	6-6	7	1	2	1	15
Camaren Sparrow	G	37	4-9	2-5	1-1	7	0	0	0	11
Greg Spurlock	Guard	38	2-6	0-1	4-4	2	7	3	1	8
Don Don Ferguson	Guard	12	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Aa'Reyon Munir-Jones	F	33	1-4	0-0	0-0	2	1	3	0	2
Toto Fagbenle	Forward	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Darryon Prescott	Center	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.9Possessions65.9

94.1Offensive Efficiency89.5

89.5Defensive Efficiency94.1

4.6Net Efficiency-4.6

42.1%Effective FG%47.0%

47.0%True Shooting %53.0%

20.0%Turnover Rate27.0%

33.3%Free Throw Rate24.0%

42.1%3-Point Rate28.0%

0.69Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Wagner won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 65.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.