Ball State

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.6%Ball State

78.4%Detroit Mercy

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDetroit Mercy -8.4

PROJECTED TOTAL146.5

MODEL MONEYLINEDetroit Mercy -363

Detroit Mercy

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBall State 69

Projected Total146.5

Projected ScoreDetroit Mercy 77

Team Comparison

Ball StateMetricDetroit Mercy

41.3MMH Power Index48.3

101.7Offensive Efficiency110.2

104.7Defensive Efficiency110.4

-3.0Net Efficiency-0.2

-3.9Strength of Schedule-1.9

-0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency3.5

66.4Tempo70.0

48.3%Effective FG%50.0%

16.0%Turnover Rate16.1%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %34.1%

33.0%Free Throw Rate35.1%

-2.0Average Margin-0.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Detroit Mercy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDetroit Mercy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.3–41.3), offensive efficiency (110.2–101.7), net efficiency (-0.2–-3.0), strength of schedule (-1.9–-3.9).

Ball State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.7–110.4), ball security (16.0–16.1).

Final

Ball State

68—65

Detroit Mercy

Ball State by 3 • 70.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ball StateTEAM STATDetroit Mercy

19-44FG24-66

43.0%FG%36.0%

6-203PT5-21

30.0%3PT%24.0%

24-29FT12-16

83.0%FT%75.0%

42Rebounds29

10Offensive Rebounds12

8Assists7

21Turnovers10

2Steals12

6Blocks2

14Fouls23

Player Box Score

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Basheer Jihad	Forward	32	8-14	1-5	9-11	10	0	0	3	26
Mickey Pearson Jr.	Forward	36	4-7	1-2	6-6	7	0	0	1	15
Jalin Anderson	Point Guard	37	3-11	2-7	4-6	7	5	0	0	12
Mason Jones	F	40	2-5	2-3	1-2	7	0	0	2	7
Trent Middleton Jr.	G	27	1-4	0-2	4-4	3	1	0	0	6
Ben Hendriks	Center	17	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	0	2
Joey Brown	Guard	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Zane Doughty	C	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Micah Bell	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Detroit Mercy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Stone	G	36	6-26	1-9	5-6	7	3	6	1	18
Marcus Tankersley	G	31	4-11	0-1	3-3	7	0	1	0	11
Edoardo Del Cadia	Forward	30	4-7	0-0	3-5	6	2	1	0	11
Donovann Toatley	Guard	16	4-9	2-5	0-0	0	1	1	0	10
Jamail Pink	Guard	14	2-4	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Tyree Davis	Forward	14	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	4
Abdullah Olajuwon	Guard	23	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	1	3
Mak Manciel	G	10	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Kyle LeGreair	Guard	26	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.2Possessions70.2

96.9Offensive Efficiency92.6

92.6Defensive Efficiency96.9

4.3Net Efficiency-4.3

50.0%Effective FG%40.2%

58.8%True Shooting %44.2%

30.5%Turnover Rate14.0%

65.9%Free Throw Rate24.2%

45.5%3-Point Rate31.8%

0.38Assist / Turnover0.70

Game Summary

Ball State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 70.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.