Toledo

19-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.5%Toledo

45.5%Oakland

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -0.4

PROJECTED TOTAL165.6

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -120

Oakland

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreToledo 83

Projected Total165.6

Projected ScoreOakland 83

Team Comparison

ToledoMetricOakland

58.8MMH Power Index52.6

116.0Offensive Efficiency115.7

109.6Defensive Efficiency114.5

6.4Net Efficiency1.2

2.3Strength of Schedule2.1

10.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.4

69.8Tempo71.4

55.1%Effective FG%53.3%

14.6%Turnover Rate14.7%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

30.3%Free Throw Rate38.5%

4.5Average Margin0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–52.6), offensive efficiency (116.0–115.7), defensive efficiency (109.6–114.5), net efficiency (6.4–1.2).

Oakland COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (31.3–30.4), free throw rate (38.5–30.3).

Final

Toledo

69—68

Oakland

Toledo by 1 • 68.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ToledoTEAM STATOakland

24-51FG26-61

47.0%FG%43.0%

6-193PT9-26

32.0%3PT%35.0%

15-17FT7-7

88.0%FT%100.0%

28Rebounds29

6Offensive Rebounds9

13Assists6

15Turnovers14

8Steals9

2Blocks3

14Fouls16

Player Box Score

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dante Maddox Jr.	Guard	35	5-11	3-8	7-8	5	1	0	0	20
Tyler Cochran	G	32	5-8	0-0	4-4	7	1	5	0	14
Ra'Heim Moss	Guard	35	5-10	2-4	0-1	5	4	1	1	12
Javan Simmons	F	34	5-7	0-0	2-2	8	3	0	0	12
Sonny Wilson	G	36	2-9	1-3	0-0	2	4	2	0	5
Andre Lorentsson	Forward	12	1-3	0-2	2-2	1	0	0	1	4
Bryce Ford	G	11	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Grgur Brcic	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Oakland

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trey Townsend	Forward	34	5-15	0-0	4-4	6	2	2	0	14
Blake Lampman	Guard	29	5-13	4-10	0-0	3	0	1	2	14
Jack Gohlke	Guard	38	4-12	4-12	1-1	6	1	0	0	13
DQ Cole	Guard	14	4-6	0-1	0-0	3	0	2	0	8
Rocket Watts	Guard	18	3-6	1-3	0-0	3	1	1	0	7
Isaiah Jones	F	24	3-4	0-0	0-0	5	1	1	0	6
Chris Conway	Forward	26	1-3	0-0	2-2	2	1	1	0	4
Tuburu Naivalurua	F	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Osei Price	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.7Possessions68.7

100.4Offensive Efficiency99.0

99.0Defensive Efficiency100.4

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

52.9%Effective FG%50.0%

58.4%True Shooting %52.9%

22.0%Turnover Rate20.2%

33.3%Free Throw Rate11.5%

37.3%3-Point Rate42.6%

0.87Assist / Turnover0.43

Game Summary

Toledo won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 68.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.