American University

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.1%American University

72.9%Saint Joseph's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Joseph's -6.7

PROJECTED TOTAL145.5

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Joseph's -269

Saint Joseph's

24-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAmerican University 69

Projected Total145.5

Projected ScoreSaint Joseph's 76

Team Comparison

American UniversityMetricSaint Joseph's

48.2MMH Power Index52.5

110.6Offensive Efficiency106.5

105.8Defensive Efficiency102.2

4.8Net Efficiency4.3

-4.3Strength of Schedule-0.2

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency6.7

67.5Tempo68.7

52.6%Effective FG%49.8%

15.7%Turnover Rate17.0%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

30.1%Free Throw Rate31.1%

3.3Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Joseph's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Joseph's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.5–48.2), defensive efficiency (102.2–105.8), strength of schedule (-0.2–-4.3), recent form (6.7–2.2).

American University COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.6–106.5), net efficiency (4.8–4.3), shooting efficiency (52.6–49.8).

Final

American University

53—69

Saint Joseph's

Saint Joseph's by 16 • 55.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

American UniversityTEAM STATSaint Joseph's

19-51FG26-55

37.0%FG%47.0%

3-243PT12-31

13.0%3PT%39.0%

12-17FT5-6

71.0%FT%83.0%

26Rebounds35

11Offensive Rebounds11

8Assists14

7Turnovers9

5Steals3

2Blocks2

10Fouls13

Player Box Score

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Stephens	Guard	32	7-10	1-4	1-3	3	4	1	0	16
Matt Rogers	Forward	29	3-7	0-2	6-8	5	1	0	1	12
Matt Mayock	F	23	2-4	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	5
Geoff Sprouse	G	22	2-5	1-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Jermaine Ballisager Webb	C	11	2-3	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	1	5
Lincoln Ball	Guard	28	1-8	0-3	2-2	6	0	1	0	4
Lorenzo Donadio	Guard	27	1-8	0-5	2-2	2	0	2	0	4
Colin Smalls	Guard	16	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
Greg Jones	F	12	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Saint Joseph's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Xzayvier Brown	G	29	6-9	4-7	4-4	1	2	1	0	20
Erik Reynolds II	Guard	33	6-12	2-6	0-0	6	5	0	0	14
Rasheer Fleming	Forward	27	6-9	1-4	0-0	9	0	0	1	13
Cameron Brown	Guard	35	3-6	3-5	0-0	5	2	0	0	9
Lynn Greer III	Guard	33	2-11	1-5	1-2	7	1	2	0	6
Shawn Simmons II	F	13	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Anthony Finkley	F	12	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	1	3
Kacper Klaczek	F	18	0-3	0-2	0-0	5	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

55.5Possessions55.5

95.5Offensive Efficiency124.3

124.3Defensive Efficiency95.5

-28.8Net Efficiency28.8

40.2%Effective FG%58.2%

44.9%True Shooting %59.6%

12.7%Turnover Rate16.1%

33.3%Free Throw Rate10.9%

47.1%3-Point Rate56.4%

1.14Assist / Turnover1.56

Game Summary

Saint Joseph's won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 55.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.