Fairfield

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.9%Fairfield

90.1%Yale

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADYale -14.4

PROJECTED TOTAL147.3

MODEL MONEYLINEYale -910

Yale

23-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFairfield 66

Projected Total147.3

Projected ScoreYale 81

Team Comparison

FairfieldMetricYale

50.1MMH Power Index65.4

109.6Offensive Efficiency121.4

105.4Defensive Efficiency105.8

4.2Net Efficiency15.6

-3.4Strength of Schedule1.6

3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency8.9

67.8Tempo64.5

49.1%Effective FG%56.8%

15.0%Turnover Rate13.9%

36.0%Offensive Rebound %33.3%

28.4%Free Throw Rate34.4%

2.8Average Margin10.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Yale HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMYale holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.4–50.1), offensive efficiency (121.4–109.6), net efficiency (15.6–4.2), strength of schedule (1.6–-3.4).

Fairfield COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.4–105.8), offensive rebounding (36.0–33.3).

Final

Fairfield

75—71

Yale

Fairfield by 4 • 69.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

FairfieldTEAM STATYale

27-59FG28-57

46.0%FG%49.0%

8-243PT6-20

33.0%3PT%30.0%

13-18FT9-13

72.0%FT%69.0%

32Rebounds34

7Offensive Rebounds8

10Assists14

10Turnovers14

11Steals6

3Blocks6

14Fouls17

Player Box Score

Fairfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jasper Floyd	G	40	8-13	3-3	6-7	5	4	3	0	25
Caleb Fields	Guard	32	6-11	3-7	1-1	2	0	0	0	16
Jalen Leach	Not Available	34	5-16	1-6	4-4	4	2	2	0	15
Peyton Smith	F	27	4-6	0-2	0-0	6	1	2	1	8
James Johns Jr.	Guard	24	2-7	1-3	0-2	4	1	2	1	5
Louis Bleechmore	Guard	17	1-3	0-2	2-4	2	0	0	0	4
Brycen Goodine	Guard	14	1-3	0-1	0-0	4	2	1	1	2
Jack Brown	Forward	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0

Yale

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matt Knowling	Forward	27	7-10	0-0	0-0	6	3	0	0	14
Bez Mbeng	Guard	34	5-13	0-2	3-4	4	4	2	0	13
John Poulakidas	Guard	32	5-13	3-11	0-0	2	2	0	1	13
August Mahoney	Guard	24	5-8	2-4	0-1	4	0	1	0	12
Danny Wolf	Center	28	3-5	1-3	4-4	6	3	0	2	11
Nick Townsend	F	23	3-4	0-0	2-4	10	1	1	1	8
Casey Simmons	G	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Yassine Gharram	G	14	0-3	0-0	0-0	0	1	2	1	0
Samson Aletan	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.9Possessions69.9

107.3Offensive Efficiency101.6

101.6Defensive Efficiency107.3

5.7Net Efficiency-5.7

52.5%Effective FG%54.4%

55.5%True Shooting %56.2%

14.2%Turnover Rate20.2%

30.5%Free Throw Rate22.8%

40.7%3-Point Rate35.1%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Fairfield won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 69.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.