Saint Louis

29-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

85.2%Saint Louis

14.8%Drake

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Louis -12.3

PROJECTED TOTAL156.8

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Louis -576

Drake

14-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Louis 85

Projected Total156.8

Projected ScoreDrake 72

Team Comparison

Saint LouisMetricDrake

66.7MMH Power Index46.4

120.8Offensive Efficiency109.5

97.6Defensive Efficiency109.1

23.2Net Efficiency0.4

0.3Strength of Schedule0.3

0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.3

72.2Tempo68.6

59.9%Effective FG%52.2%

17.1%Turnover Rate14.9%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %27.2%

33.9%Free Throw Rate34.4%

16.8Average Margin0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Louis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Louis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (66.7–46.4), offensive efficiency (120.8–109.5), defensive efficiency (97.6–109.1), net efficiency (23.2–0.4).

Drake COUNTERS WITHball security (14.9–17.1), free throw rate (34.4–33.9).

Final

Saint Louis

69—75

Drake

Drake by 6 • 67.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint LouisTEAM STATDrake

23-52FG22-54

44.0%FG%41.0%

5-143PT8-24

36.0%3PT%33.0%

18-22FT23-30

82.0%FT%77.0%

34Rebounds31

10Offensive Rebounds10

6Assists15

14Turnovers10

8Steals7

2Blocks4

22Fouls16

Player Box Score

Saint Louis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gibson Jimerson	Guard	40	6-17	4-8	7-9	5	1	2	0	23
Tim Dalger	Forward	33	4-11	0-1	6-7	4	0	2	0	14
Bruce Zhang	Center	26	4-7	0-0	1-2	6	1	2	1	9
Cian Medley	G	25	3-7	0-1	2-2	3	3	0	0	8
Kellen Thames	G	15	3-3	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	7
Terrence Hargrove Jr.	Forward	35	1-3	0-1	2-2	9	1	1	1	4
Djordje Curcic	G	17	2-4	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	4
Stef van Bussel	C	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Atin Wright	Guard	35	5-11	2-5	10-11	4	1	0	0	22
Kevin Overton	G	36	8-13	2-6	3-5	4	0	1	1	21
Darnell Brodie	Forward	33	4-9	0-0	4-6	6	2	1	0	12
Tucker DeVries	F	38	3-12	2-7	2-2	10	5	3	2	10
Conor Enright	G	19	2-6	2-5	1-2	2	2	1	1	7
Nate Ferguson	Forward	7	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Colby Garland	G	17	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	3	1	0	1
Carlos Rosario	Forward	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Kyron Gibson	Guard	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.4Possessions67.4

102.4Offensive Efficiency111.3

111.3Defensive Efficiency102.4

-8.9Net Efficiency8.9

49.0%Effective FG%48.1%

55.2%True Shooting %54.9%

21.1%Turnover Rate14.7%

42.3%Free Throw Rate55.6%

26.9%3-Point Rate44.4%

0.43Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Drake won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 67.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.