Northern Arizona

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.6%Northern Arizona

75.4%Abilene Christian

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAbilene Christian -8.3

PROJECTED TOTAL146.3

MODEL MONEYLINEAbilene Christian -307

Abilene Christian

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 69

Projected Total146.3

Projected ScoreAbilene Christian 77

Team Comparison

Northern ArizonaMetricAbilene Christian

36.9MMH Power Index42.4

107.1Offensive Efficiency101.1

114.8Defensive Efficiency104.1

-7.7Net Efficiency-3.0

-1.8Strength of Schedule-1.4

-16.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.3

66.6Tempo69.6

53.5%Effective FG%48.9%

15.8%Turnover Rate20.6%

24.0%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

33.6%Free Throw Rate42.0%

-5.1Average Margin-2.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Abilene Christian HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAbilene Christian holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.4–36.9), defensive efficiency (104.1–114.8), net efficiency (-3.0–-7.7), strength of schedule (-1.4–-1.8).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.1–101.1), shooting efficiency (53.5–48.9), ball security (15.8–20.6).

Final

Northern Arizona

78—76

Abilene Christian

Northern Arizona by 2 • 75.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ArizonaTEAM STATAbilene Christian

28-57FG23-60

49.0%FG%38.0%

6-183PT5-19

33.0%3PT%26.0%

16-20FT25-31

80.0%FT%81.0%

44Rebounds28

12Offensive Rebounds9

13Assists9

21Turnovers10

5Steals12

4Blocks1

26Fouls18

Player Box Score

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trent McLaughlin	Guard	38	8-14	2-5	4-4	3	1	1	1	22
Oakland Fort	G	27	6-13	2-4	4-5	6	3	1	0	18
Jayden Jackson	G	24	5-6	0-0	0-0	11	3	1	0	10
Carson Basham	Forward	13	3-4	0-0	4-5	6	1	0	2	10
Diego Campisano	F	38	4-8	1-4	0-0	7	1	0	0	9
Liam Lloyd	Guard	36	1-8	1-4	3-4	3	3	2	1	6
C.J. Ford	Guard	12	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Rockwell Reynolds	F	6	0-0	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Arman Madi	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ryan Abelman	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Abilene Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Airion Simmons	Forward	27	9-17	1-3	6-7	7	0	1	0	25
Kavion McClain	F	30	6-8	1-1	2-2	3	2	0	0	15
Immanuel Allen	Guard	23	4-8	2-5	1-2	1	1	4	0	11
Leonardo Bettiol	F	17	1-1	0-0	6-6	3	2	0	0	8
JV Seat	G	18	1-4	0-1	5-7	4	1	4	0	7
Hunter Jack Madden	Guard	29	0-3	0-2	4-4	2	1	0	0	4
Cameron Steele	Forward	17	1-6	0-3	1-3	1	1	3	1	3
Ali Dibba	G	12	1-7	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Aidan Igiehon	Forward	12	0-3	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Nasir DeGruy	Guard	10	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ma'Shy Hill	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Muodubem Muoneke	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.6Possessions75.6

103.2Offensive Efficiency100.5

100.5Defensive Efficiency103.2

2.6Net Efficiency-2.6

54.4%Effective FG%42.5%

58.6%True Shooting %50.9%

27.8%Turnover Rate13.2%

35.1%Free Throw Rate51.7%

31.6%3-Point Rate31.7%

0.62Assist / Turnover0.90

Game Summary

Northern Arizona won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 75.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.