Northern Kentucky

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.5%Northern Kentucky

63.5%Illinois State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -4.8

PROJECTED TOTAL154.1

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -174

Illinois State

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Kentucky 75

Projected Total154.1

Projected ScoreIllinois State 79

Team Comparison

Northern KentuckyMetricIllinois State

53.9MMH Power Index54.3

114.9Offensive Efficiency110.6

107.1Defensive Efficiency101.4

7.8Net Efficiency9.2

-2.9Strength of Schedule1.0

4.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.4

72.3Tempo67.5

54.5%Effective FG%54.3%

16.3%Turnover Rate16.8%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %28.3%

37.1%Free Throw Rate32.0%

5.7Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Kentucky holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (114.9–110.6), recent form (4.6–-4.4), shooting efficiency (54.5–54.3), ball security (16.3–16.8).

Illinois State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (54.3–53.9), defensive efficiency (101.4–107.1), net efficiency (9.2–7.8).

Final

Northern Kentucky

59—62

Illinois State

Illinois State by 3 • 63.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern KentuckyTEAM STATIllinois State

22-56FG24-58

39.0%FG%41.0%

7-203PT8-27

35.0%3PT%30.0%

8-10FT6-9

80.0%FT%67.0%

31Rebounds41

6Offensive Rebounds12

17Assists14

8Turnovers14

12Steals2

1Blocks3

12Fouls7

Player Box Score

Northern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marques Warrick	Guard	35	6-16	3-8	0-0	3	1	1	0	15
Cade Meyer	Forward	20	4-8	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	10
Michael Bradley	Guard	30	3-5	2-2	0-0	1	4	1	0	8
Trey Robinson	Guard	28	3-7	1-3	0-0	5	1	4	0	7
LJ Wells	F	18	2-4	0-0	2-2	1	2	1	0	6
Jeramiah Israel	Guard	13	2-5	0-3	2-2	2	3	1	0	6
Sam Vinson	Guard	34	1-8	1-4	2-4	8	5	3	0	5
Keeyan Itejere	F	19	1-3	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	1	2
Fiston Ipassou	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kendall Lewis	Forward	34	6-9	1-2	2-3	6	2	0	0	15
Dalton Banks	Guard	32	5-8	4-7	0-0	6	4	0	1	14
Darius Burford	Guard	31	5-14	1-5	2-3	4	2	0	0	13
Myles Foster	Forward	23	4-7	0-0	0-1	9	1	0	1	8
Johnny Kinziger	G	27	1-5	1-5	2-2	2	1	1	0	5
Luke Kasubke	Guard	14	1-4	1-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	3
Malachi Poindexter	Guard	21	1-8	0-5	0-0	1	2	0	0	2
Brandon Lieb	F	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	0	2
Ty Pence	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Harouna Sissoko	Forward	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.6Possessions63.6

92.8Offensive Efficiency97.5

97.5Defensive Efficiency92.8

-4.7Net Efficiency4.7

45.5%Effective FG%48.3%

48.6%True Shooting %49.8%

12.7%Turnover Rate21.8%

17.9%Free Throw Rate15.5%

35.7%3-Point Rate46.6%

2.13Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Illinois State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 63.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.