California

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.9%California

52.1%Butler

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADButler -1.0

PROJECTED TOTAL157.2

MODEL MONEYLINEButler -109

Butler

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia 78

Projected Total157.2

Projected ScoreButler 79

Team Comparison

CaliforniaMetricButler

56.5MMH Power Index52.7

111.8Offensive Efficiency111.7

104.8Defensive Efficiency109.1

7.0Net Efficiency2.6

2.8Strength of Schedule3.1

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.5

69.9Tempo71.1

52.6%Effective FG%51.2%

14.9%Turnover Rate15.9%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %34.4%

36.8%Free Throw Rate42.9%

4.9Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.5–52.7), offensive efficiency (111.8–111.7), defensive efficiency (104.8–109.1), net efficiency (7.0–2.6).

Butler COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (3.1–2.8), offensive rebounding (34.4–26.6), free throw rate (42.9–36.8).

Final

California

90—97

Butler

Butler by 7 • 85.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CaliforniaTEAM STATButler

35-76FG39-75

46.0%FG%52.0%

14-343PT8-19

41.0%3PT%42.0%

6-7FT11-14

86.0%FT%79.0%

37Rebounds40

11Offensive Rebounds11

18Assists18

18Turnovers14

7Steals7

3Blocks6

18Fouls11

Player Box Score

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Fardaws Aimaq	Forward	45	9-22	2-3	4-5	16	2	1	1	24
Jalen Cone	Guard	45	8-20	7-17	0-0	0	4	2	0	23
Keonte Kennedy	Guard	49	9-14	2-6	0-0	5	3	2	0	20
Jaylon Tyson	Forward	40	6-13	2-5	2-2	5	7	1	0	16
Rodney Brown Jr.	G	15	2-2	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	5
Grant Newell	F	33	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	1	2
Gus Larson	F	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	1	0
Jalen Celestine	G	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
ND Okafor	C	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Butler

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Posh Alexander	Guard	45	9-16	0-2	3-4	4	6	2	0	21
Jahmyl Telfort	Forward	43	8-18	2-4	2-2	2	4	2	0	20
Pierre Brooks II	Forward	45	8-15	2-5	0-1	7	1	0	0	18
DJ Davis	Guard	39	4-7	3-5	2-3	4	2	1	0	13
Andre Screen	Center	19	4-8	0-0	1-1	6	0	1	3	9
Finley Bizjack	G	16	3-4	1-2	1-1	2	1	0	0	8
Jalen Thomas	Forward	30	2-5	0-1	0-0	6	4	1	3	4
Landon Moore	G	13	1-2	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	4

Advanced Game Stats

85.5Possessions85.5

105.3Offensive Efficiency113.5

113.5Defensive Efficiency105.3

-8.2Net Efficiency8.2

55.3%Effective FG%57.3%

56.7%True Shooting %59.4%

20.9%Turnover Rate16.5%

9.2%Free Throw Rate18.7%

44.7%3-Point Rate25.3%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.29

Game Summary

Butler won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 85.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.