Troy

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.0%Troy

76.0%Dayton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDayton -7.1

PROJECTED TOTAL149.4

MODEL MONEYLINEDayton -317

Dayton

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTroy 71

Projected Total149.4

Projected ScoreDayton 78

Team Comparison

TroyMetricDayton

54.1MMH Power Index59.9

112.6Offensive Efficiency108.5

103.9Defensive Efficiency101.5

8.7Net Efficiency7.0

-2.2Strength of Schedule5.7

2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

70.4Tempo68.3

52.1%Effective FG%52.0%

17.1%Turnover Rate16.9%

35.3%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

36.8%Free Throw Rate47.6%

6.1Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Dayton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDayton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.9–54.1), defensive efficiency (101.5–103.9), strength of schedule (5.7–-2.2), recent form (6.4–2.0).

Troy COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (112.6–108.5), net efficiency (8.7–7.0), shooting efficiency (52.1–52.0).

Final

Troy

70—82

Dayton

Dayton by 12 • 66.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TroyTEAM STATDayton

24-60FG29-55

40.0%FG%53.0%

11-283PT10-20

39.0%3PT%50.0%

11-14FT14-20

79.0%FT%70.0%

29Rebounds37

11Offensive Rebounds10

16Assists13

11Turnovers11

7Steals5

5Blocks10

20Fouls20

Player Box Score

Troy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Christyon Eugene	Guard	27	5-10	3-5	3-4	5	6	1	0	16
Aamer Muhammad	Guard	27	4-8	3-6	1-1	1	1	1	0	12
Theo Seng	F	22	3-9	2-5	3-3	3	2	1	0	11
Tayton Conerway	G	19	4-7	1-2	0-0	2	2	2	0	9
Randarius Jones	C	15	2-2	0-0	3-4	3	0	0	0	7
Victor Valdes	F	22	2-4	1-2	0-0	1	1	1	1	5
Thomas Dowd	F	18	2-5	1-4	0-0	3	0	0	3	5
Myles Rigsby	G	19	1-7	0-1	1-2	1	1	0	0	3
Randi Ovalle	Forward	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Jackson Fields	F	18	0-5	0-1	0-0	6	1	0	1	0
Marcus Rigsby Jr.	G	6	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	0

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kobe Elvis	Guard	31	9-15	4-6	2-2	2	1	0	0	24
DaRon Holmes II	Center	35	9-12	0-0	5-10	17	4	1	3	23
Javon Bennett	G	29	2-6	2-4	5-6	1	3	1	1	11
Koby Brea	Guard	23	3-4	2-3	0-0	4	1	0	1	8
Nate Santos	Forward	36	2-11	1-4	2-2	2	2	1	2	7
Enoch Cheeks	Guard	30	3-5	0-1	0-0	6	2	1	2	6
Petras Padegimas	F	9	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Isaac Jack	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Atticus Schuler	Guard	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.1Possessions66.1

105.9Offensive Efficiency124.1

124.1Defensive Efficiency105.9

-18.2Net Efficiency18.2

49.2%Effective FG%61.8%

52.5%True Shooting %63.6%

16.5%Turnover Rate16.8%

23.3%Free Throw Rate36.4%

46.7%3-Point Rate36.4%

1.45Assist / Turnover1.18

Game Summary

Dayton won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 66.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.