American University

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

83.5%American University

16.5%VMI

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAmerican University -9.7

PROJECTED TOTAL147.9

MODEL MONEYLINEAmerican University -506

VMI

5-26

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAmerican University 79

Projected Total147.9

Projected ScoreVMI 69

Team Comparison

American UniversityMetricVMI

48.2MMH Power Index29.1

110.6Offensive Efficiency105.1

105.8Defensive Efficiency117.4

4.8Net Efficiency-12.3

-4.3Strength of Schedule-5.4

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-21.9

67.5Tempo66.2

52.6%Effective FG%48.9%

15.7%Turnover Rate14.7%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %26.4%

30.1%Free Throw Rate29.9%

3.3Average Margin-8.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

American University HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAmerican University holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.2–29.1), offensive efficiency (110.6–105.1), defensive efficiency (105.8–117.4), net efficiency (4.8–-12.3).

VMI COUNTERS WITHball security (14.7–15.7).

Final

American University

77—69

VMI

American University by 8 • 64.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

American UniversityTEAM STATVMI

26-49FG23-59

53.0%FG%39.0%

8-223PT9-25

36.0%3PT%36.0%

17-22FT14-18

77.0%FT%78.0%

35Rebounds28

9Offensive Rebounds12

12Assists10

13Turnovers9

4Steals4

2Blocks1

20Fouls19

Player Box Score

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matt Rogers	Forward	26	7-13	2-6	3-3	3	0	1	2	19
Elijah Stephens	Guard	32	6-12	1-2	5-8	5	4	0	0	18
Lorenzo Donadio	Guard	23	5-8	3-5	2-4	4	3	1	0	15
Colin Smalls	Guard	28	2-3	0-1	3-3	4	0	0	0	7
Geoff Sprouse	G	21	2-4	1-3	2-2	2	2	1	0	7
Lincoln Ball	Guard	29	2-5	0-2	0-0	6	1	1	0	4
Matt Mayock	F	17	1-2	1-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	3
Greg Jones	F	11	0-1	0-1	2-2	3	0	0	0	2
Jermaine Ballisager Webb	C	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Noah Jones	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

VMI

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brennan Watkins	G	31	6-13	3-6	5-5	1	2	0	0	20
Stephen Olowoniyi	F	19	5-7	0-0	1-2	6	0	1	0	11
Tyran Cook	G	25	2-12	0-3	5-6	0	1	0	0	9
Taeshaud Jackson	F	31	3-6	2-5	0-0	6	3	0	1	8
DJ Nussbaum	Center	25	2-2	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	0	6
Maurice Wright Jr.	Guard	9	2-5	2-4	0-1	1	1	0	0	6
Koree Cotton	G	15	2-9	1-4	0-0	1	2	0	0	5
Devin Butler	Guard	15	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	3
AJ Clark	G	10	0-0	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	0	1
Corey Chesley	Guard	20	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.1Possessions64.1

120.1Offensive Efficiency107.6

107.6Defensive Efficiency120.1

12.5Net Efficiency-12.5

61.2%Effective FG%46.6%

64.8%True Shooting %51.1%

20.5%Turnover Rate13.9%

44.9%Free Throw Rate30.5%

44.9%3-Point Rate42.4%

0.92Assist / Turnover1.11

Game Summary

American University won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 64.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.