South Florida

25-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

64.9%South Florida

35.1%Florida State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Florida -4.4

PROJECTED TOTAL165.3

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Florida -185

Florida State

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Florida 85

Projected Total165.3

Projected ScoreFlorida State 80

Team Comparison

South FloridaMetricFlorida State

68.8MMH Power Index58.7

117.3Offensive Efficiency111.9

101.6Defensive Efficiency108.5

15.7Net Efficiency3.4

1.8Strength of Schedule5.7

19.7Last 10 Net Efficiency7.6

74.5Tempo71.8

51.0%Effective FG%52.4%

14.9%Turnover Rate15.2%

38.0%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

41.8%Free Throw Rate35.2%

11.7Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Florida HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Florida holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.8–58.7), offensive efficiency (117.3–111.9), defensive efficiency (101.6–108.5), net efficiency (15.7–3.4).

Florida State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.7–1.8), shooting efficiency (52.4–51.0).

Final

South Florida

88—72

Florida State

South Florida by 16 • 78.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South FloridaTEAM STATFlorida State

26-61FG23-59

43.0%FG%39.0%

12-233PT8-22

52.0%3PT%36.0%

24-32FT18-35

75.0%FT%51.0%

41Rebounds41

11Offensive Rebounds13

12Assists15

14Turnovers16

10Steals10

5Blocks5

24Fouls20

Player Box Score

South Florida

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Selton Miguel	Guard	32	7-14	3-5	3-5	4	2	2	0	20
Chris Youngblood	Guard	24	6-11	3-5	3-4	2	1	0	1	18
Kasean Pryor	F	30	2-9	1-1	4-4	10	2	2	1	9
Kobe Knox	G	26	3-9	1-5	2-2	6	3	1	2	9
Jayden Reid	G	23	3-4	1-2	2-4	2	2	4	0	9
Jose Placer	Guard	16	3-6	3-5	0-0	3	2	0	0	9
Brandon Stroud	Guard	22	2-4	0-0	2-3	3	0	1	0	6
Sam Hines Jr.	Guard	16	0-3	0-0	6-8	2	0	0	0	6
Corey Walker Jr.	Forward	11	0-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	1	2

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamir Watkins	Guard	25	5-11	1-2	4-6	8	3	2	1	15
Baba Miller	F	29	3-9	1-4	4-13	11	1	1	1	11
Josh Nickelberry	Guard	23	2-6	2-5	4-5	1	2	1	0	10
Tom House	G	6	2-2	2-2	1-2	0	0	1	0	7
Jaylan Gainey	Forward	12	3-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	1	6
Taylor Bol Bowen	F	11	3-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Jalen Warley	G	23	2-6	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	0	5
Chandler Jackson	G	19	2-7	1-3	0-0	2	5	2	0	5
De'Ante Green	F	18	0-4	0-1	4-4	3	0	0	1	4
Darin Green Jr.	Guard	34	1-7	1-5	0-3	3	2	2	1	3

Advanced Game Stats

78.9Possessions78.9

111.5Offensive Efficiency91.3

91.3Defensive Efficiency111.5

20.3Net Efficiency-20.3

52.5%Effective FG%45.8%

57.7%True Shooting %47.6%

17.7%Turnover Rate20.3%

52.5%Free Throw Rate59.3%

37.7%3-Point Rate37.3%

0.86Assist / Turnover0.94

Game Summary

South Florida won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 78.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.