Western Kentucky

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

53.7%Western Kentucky

46.3%Buffalo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBuffalo -0.1

PROJECTED TOTAL158.1

MODEL MONEYLINEWestern Kentucky -116

Buffalo

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Kentucky 79

Projected Total158.1

Projected ScoreBuffalo 79

Team Comparison

Western KentuckyMetricBuffalo

55.6MMH Power Index49.7

110.6Offensive Efficiency114.9

106.2Defensive Efficiency112.2

4.4Net Efficiency2.7

1.7Strength of Schedule0.0

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.9

71.7Tempo67.9

48.6%Effective FG%56.1%

14.5%Turnover Rate16.1%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %27.6%

42.9%Free Throw Rate40.4%

3.2Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Western Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWestern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.6–49.7), defensive efficiency (106.2–112.2), net efficiency (4.4–2.7), strength of schedule (1.7–0.0).

Buffalo COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (114.9–110.6), shooting efficiency (56.1–48.6).

Final

Western Kentucky

82—65

Buffalo

Western Kentucky by 17 • 77.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western KentuckyTEAM STATBuffalo

29-66FG26-71

44.0%FG%37.0%

6-253PT5-34

24.0%3PT%15.0%

18-29FT8-10

62.0%FT%80.0%

48Rebounds42

17Offensive Rebounds15

20Assists15

15Turnovers17

13Steals11

4Blocks4

14Fouls17

Player Box Score

Western Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Don McHenry	G	24	5-7	1-2	5-5	2	2	1	0	16
Brandon Newman	Guard	24	5-9	1-4	0-0	8	3	2	1	11
Babacar Faye	F	19	4-6	0-0	1-2	4	1	1	0	9
Enoch Kalambay	G	15	3-4	0-0	3-3	4	3	2	0	9
Khristian Lander	Guard	22	2-7	1-5	2-2	3	5	1	0	7
Dontaie Allen	Guard	16	2-8	2-7	1-2	2	0	1	0	7
Tyrone Marshall Jr.	F	23	2-6	0-2	2-2	5	3	1	3	6
Teagan Moore	G	14	2-6	1-4	0-0	4	1	1	0	5
Rodney Howard	Forward	12	2-5	0-0	1-4	3	0	0	0	5
BJ Marable	Forward	8	1-3	0-0	0-3	0	1	0	0	2
Jaylen Dorsey	Guard	2	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Jack Edelen	G	2	0-0	0-0	2-4	0	0	0	0	2
Jalen Jackson	Guard	16	0-2	0-0	1-2	4	1	3	0	1
Tyler Olden	Guard	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Fallou Diagne	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sy Chatman	Forward	34	9-20	1-8	2-2	11	0	2	3	21
Anquan Boldin Jr.	G	38	7-12	3-5	2-4	3	3	2	1	19
Ryan Sabol	G	38	4-14	1-8	3-3	3	7	1	0	12
Shawn Fulcher	Guard	22	2-7	0-3	1-1	3	1	3	0	5
Bryson Wilson	G	14	2-4	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	4
Lloyd McVeigh	Guard	29	1-8	0-6	0-0	9	4	2	0	2
Jonnivius Smith	Forward	17	1-2	0-1	0-0	7	0	0	0	2
Zaakir Williamson	F	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kanye Jones	G	4	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.8Possessions77.8

105.4Offensive Efficiency83.5

83.5Defensive Efficiency105.4

21.9Net Efficiency-21.9

48.5%Effective FG%40.1%

51.4%True Shooting %42.9%

19.3%Turnover Rate21.9%

43.9%Free Throw Rate14.1%

37.9%3-Point Rate47.9%

1.33Assist / Turnover0.88

Game Summary

Western Kentucky won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 77.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.