Southern Indiana

7-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.4%Southern Indiana

78.6%Indiana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIndiana State -9.0

PROJECTED TOTAL142.8

MODEL MONEYLINEIndiana State -367

Indiana State

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Indiana 67

Projected Total142.8

Projected ScoreIndiana State 76

Team Comparison

Southern IndianaMetricIndiana State

37.3MMH Power Index44.4

99.2Offensive Efficiency104.7

106.5Defensive Efficiency106.0

-7.3Net Efficiency-1.3

-2.0Strength of Schedule0.1

-14.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

66.7Tempo70.3

45.0%Effective FG%53.6%

17.4%Turnover Rate19.5%

32.2%Offensive Rebound %27.3%

37.9%Free Throw Rate28.8%

-4.8Average Margin-0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Indiana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIndiana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–37.3), offensive efficiency (104.7–99.2), defensive efficiency (106.0–106.5), net efficiency (-1.3–-7.3).

Southern Indiana COUNTERS WITHball security (17.4–19.5), offensive rebounding (32.2–27.3), free throw rate (37.9–28.8).

Final

Southern Indiana

54—98

Indiana State

Indiana State by 44 • 77.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern IndianaTEAM STATIndiana State

21-58FG35-71

36.0%FG%49.0%

4-193PT14-36

21.0%3PT%39.0%

8-12FT14-16

67.0%FT%88.0%

28Rebounds48

3Offensive Rebounds12

6Assists27

17Turnovers10

7Steals6

5Blocks2

17Fouls14

Player Box Score

Southern Indiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeremiah Hernandez	Guard	24	4-9	1-2	7-7	3	1	1	0	16
AJ Smith	F	32	5-10	1-3	1-2	5	1	2	0	12
Ryan Hall	Guard	23	4-9	1-3	0-0	0	0	1	0	9
Nolan Causwell	Forward	16	3-9	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	4	6
Kiyron Powell	Center	15	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	4
Jack Mielke	Forward	17	1-1	1-1	0-0	6	0	0	0	3
Jack Campion	G	21	1-5	0-2	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
Nick Hittle	F	11	1-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Yarin Hasson	Forward	13	0-4	0-3	0-3	1	0	0	0	0
Johnny Semany	G	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Sam Mervis	Guard	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	3	2	0	0
Luther Smith Jr.	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robbie Avila	C	23	7-12	2-5	2-2	5	5	1	1	18
Ryan Conwell	G	30	5-12	3-9	2-2	6	2	1	0	15
Julian Larry	Guard	27	4-7	3-4	4-4	3	5	1	0	15
Jaden Daughtry	F	14	6-10	1-2	2-2	11	0	0	0	15
Eli Shetlar	G	17	5-9	3-7	0-0	2	0	0	0	13
Jayson Kent	Forward	21	4-6	0-1	2-2	5	2	1	0	10
Xavier Bledson	Guard	28	2-6	1-3	2-2	7	4	2	0	7
Masen Miller	Guard	23	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	4	0	0	3
Derek Vorst	C	17	1-6	0-2	0-2	7	5	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

77.2Possessions77.2

69.9Offensive Efficiency126.9

126.9Defensive Efficiency69.9

-57.0Net Efficiency57.0

39.7%Effective FG%59.2%

42.4%True Shooting %62.3%

21.9%Turnover Rate13.1%

20.7%Free Throw Rate22.5%

32.8%3-Point Rate50.7%

0.35Assist / Turnover2.70

Game Summary

Indiana State won by 44 points. The game played at approximately 77.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.