Northern Illinois

9-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.4%Northern Illinois

95.6%Monmouth

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMonmouth -19.6

PROJECTED TOTAL146.3

MODEL MONEYLINEMonmouth -2173

Monmouth

19-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 63

Projected Total146.3

Projected ScoreMonmouth 83

Team Comparison

Northern IllinoisMetricMonmouth

29.2MMH Power Index52.2

99.7Offensive Efficiency106.4

111.6Defensive Efficiency103.8

-11.9Net Efficiency2.6

-2.1Strength of Schedule0.4

-28.8Last 10 Net Efficiency7.0

69.7Tempo68.3

48.5%Effective FG%49.9%

21.3%Turnover Rate16.6%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %31.4%

39.6%Free Throw Rate33.6%

-8.3Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Monmouth HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMonmouth holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.2–29.2), offensive efficiency (106.4–99.7), defensive efficiency (103.8–111.6), net efficiency (2.6–-11.9).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (31.7–31.4), free throw rate (39.6–33.6).

Final

Northern Illinois

71—74

Monmouth

Monmouth by 3 • 68.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern IllinoisTEAM STATMonmouth

23-50FG28-68

46.0%FG%41.0%

5-203PT8-19

25.0%3PT%42.0%

20-31FT10-15

65.0%FT%67.0%

37Rebounds38

12Offensive Rebounds17

8Assists11

15Turnovers11

5Steals7

9Blocks—

17Fouls22

Player Box Score

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Xavier Amos	F	40	10-15	1-4	0-0	11	1	2	4	21
Zarique Nutter	F	35	5-8	1-3	10-14	4	1	0	1	21
David Coit	G	38	4-10	2-7	5-6	6	4	0	0	15
Philmon Gebrewhit	Guard	28	3-8	1-3	2-2	1	1	1	0	9
Oluwasegun Durosinmi	Forward	10	0-2	0-0	3-4	5	0	0	1	3
Ethan Butler	F	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	2	2
Yanic Konan Niederhauser	Forward	13	0-1	0-0	0-1	1	0	1	1	0
Zion Russell	G	9	0-2	0-1	0-4	2	0	0	0	0
Will Lovings-Watts	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Quaran McPherson	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Monmouth

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Nikita Konstantynovskyi	Forward	28	7-14	0-0	2-2	9	3	0	16
Xander Rice	Guard	24	5-11	3-7	1-1	3	1	0	14
Jakari Spence	Guard	29	4-6	1-1	0-0	1	3	2	9
Abdi Bashir Jr.	G	12	3-6	3-4	0-0	2	1	0	9
Jack Collins	G	37	3-10	1-5	1-2	6	1	1	8
Cornelius Robinson III	F	16	3-5	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	8
Jaret Valencia	F	28	2-9	0-1	2-2	7	2	4	6
Klemen Vuga	Forward	7	1-3	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	3
Gabe Spinelli	G	9	0-1	0-0	1-4	1	0	0	1
Jack Holmstrom	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Jayden Doyle	G	5	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.4Possessions68.4

103.8Offensive Efficiency108.2

108.2Defensive Efficiency103.8

-4.4Net Efficiency4.4

51.0%Effective FG%47.1%

54.8%True Shooting %49.3%

22.1%Turnover Rate15.9%

62.0%Free Throw Rate22.1%

40.0%3-Point Rate27.9%

0.53Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Monmouth won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 68.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.