Northern Iowa

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

43.4%Northern Iowa

56.6%Toledo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -1.9

PROJECTED TOTAL144.6

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -130

Toledo

19-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Iowa 71

Projected Total144.6

Projected ScoreToledo 73

Team Comparison

Northern IowaMetricToledo

61MMH Power Index58.8

108.4Offensive Efficiency116.0

96.4Defensive Efficiency109.6

12.0Net Efficiency6.4

2.2Strength of Schedule2.3

13.9Last 10 Net Efficiency10.2

64.1Tempo69.8

54.6%Effective FG%55.1%

14.4%Turnover Rate14.6%

21.9%Offensive Rebound %30.4%

26.2%Free Throw Rate30.3%

7.7Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Iowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.0–58.8), defensive efficiency (96.4–109.6), net efficiency (12.0–6.4), recent form (13.9–10.2).

Toledo COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (116.0–108.4), strength of schedule (2.3–2.2), shooting efficiency (55.1–54.6).

Final

Northern Iowa

80—84

Toledo

Toledo by 4 • 72.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern IowaTEAM STATToledo

29-56FG28-59

52.0%FG%47.0%

9-213PT8-20

43.0%3PT%40.0%

13-16FT20-26

81.0%FT%77.0%

33Rebounds30

5Offensive Rebounds5

12Assists11

13Turnovers6

4Steals9

3Blocks4

20Fouls13

Player Box Score

Northern Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bowen Born	Guard	32	9-16	6-9	7-7	5	1	2	0	31
Jacob Hutson	Center	31	4-5	0-0	4-7	5	2	1	1	12
Trey Campbell	G	30	5-7	2-3	0-0	5	2	0	0	12
Tytan Anderson	Guard	32	4-6	0-0	0-0	8	1	0	0	8
Nate Heise	G	30	3-11	0-4	0-0	5	2	0	1	6
Landon Wolf	G	8	1-3	1-2	2-2	1	0	1	0	5
Cole Henry	Forward	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	1	2
Kyle Pock	F	8	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
RJ Taylor	G	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Michael Duax	F	12	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	0

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ra'Heim Moss	Guard	35	5-10	1-4	10-13	3	2	3	1	21
Tyler Cochran	G	33	6-16	2-3	5-6	12	2	1	0	19
Javan Simmons	F	33	5-7	0-1	3-5	3	1	2	2	13
Dante Maddox Jr.	Guard	34	5-13	2-6	0-0	3	2	2	0	12
Sonny Wilson	G	36	3-7	1-3	0-0	3	1	1	1	7
Andre Lorentsson	Forward	10	2-2	2-2	0-0	2	2	0	0	6
Bryce Ford	G	10	1-2	0-1	2-2	1	1	0	0	4
Grgur Brcic	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Sam Lewis	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.0Possessions72.0

111.1Offensive Efficiency116.7

116.7Defensive Efficiency111.1

-5.6Net Efficiency5.6

59.8%Effective FG%54.2%

62.9%True Shooting %58.9%

18.2%Turnover Rate8.3%

28.6%Free Throw Rate44.1%

37.5%3-Point Rate33.9%

0.92Assist / Turnover1.83

Game Summary

Toledo won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 72.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.