Auburn

21-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.5%Auburn

45.5%Indiana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIndiana -1.3

PROJECTED TOTAL159.5

MODEL MONEYLINEAuburn -120

Indiana

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAuburn 79

Projected Total159.5

Projected ScoreIndiana 80

Team Comparison

AuburnMetricIndiana

64.4MMH Power Index58.2

118.8Offensive Efficiency116.0

113.0Defensive Efficiency107.1

5.8Net Efficiency8.9

7.5Strength of Schedule5.2

8.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.7

69.8Tempo67.4

53.1%Effective FG%56.0%

14.5%Turnover Rate15.1%

36.5%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

43.8%Free Throw Rate35.8%

4.1Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Auburn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAuburn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.4–58.2), offensive efficiency (118.8–116.0), strength of schedule (7.5–5.2), recent form (8.0–-7.7).

Indiana COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.1–113.0), net efficiency (8.9–5.8), shooting efficiency (56.0–53.1).

Final

Auburn

104—76

Indiana

Auburn by 28 • 74.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AuburnTEAM STATIndiana

35-72FG24-56

49.0%FG%43.0%

14-293PT6-17

48.0%3PT%35.0%

20-23FT22-29

87.0%FT%76.0%

39Rebounds35

11Offensive Rebounds8

25Assists14

3Turnovers12

8Steals2

3Blocks4

21Fouls22

Player Box Score

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylin Williams	Forward	29	8-14	2-4	6-9	6	7	1	1	24
Aden Holloway	G	22	7-11	5-8	5-5	1	2	0	0	24
K.D. Johnson	Guard	19	5-9	1-2	3-3	2	3	1	0	14
Denver Jones	Guard	19	3-6	2-4	4-4	1	2	0	0	12
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	22	4-8	1-2	2-2	1	4	1	0	11
Tre Donaldson	G	18	4-7	2-4	0-0	7	3	2	0	10
Lior Berman	Guard	7	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Johni Broome	Forward	21	1-6	0-1	0-0	7	3	2	2	2
Dylan Cardwell	Center	18	1-2	0-0	0-0	8	0	1	0	2
Chris Moore	Forward	12	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Chaney Johnson	Forward	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Addarin Scott	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Carter Sobera	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jalen Harper	Guard	2	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Indiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Reneau	F	31	6-13	0-1	3-6	7	3	0	0	15
Kel'el Ware	Center	29	2-8	1-2	8-10	8	2	0	1	13
Gabe Cupps	G	31	4-6	2-3	1-2	5	2	2	0	11
Mackenzie Mgbako	F	23	2-8	2-7	4-4	2	2	0	0	10
Anthony Walker	Forward	13	3-5	0-0	3-3	5	1	0	2	9
Trey Galloway	Guard	22	3-5	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	6
Kaleb Banks	F	16	2-5	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
CJ Gunn	G	18	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	3
Payton Sparks	Center	8	1-3	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	3
Anthony Leal	Guard	9	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	1	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

74.4Possessions74.4

139.8Offensive Efficiency102.2

102.2Defensive Efficiency139.8

37.6Net Efficiency-37.6

58.3%Effective FG%48.2%

62.7%True Shooting %54.5%

4.0%Turnover Rate16.3%

31.9%Free Throw Rate51.8%

40.3%3-Point Rate30.4%

8.33Assist / Turnover1.17

Game Summary

Auburn won by 28 points. The game played at approximately 74.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.