Hofstra

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.9%Hofstra

79.1%Saint Louis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Louis -11.1

PROJECTED TOTAL151.9

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Louis -378

Saint Louis

29-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHofstra 70

Projected Total151.9

Projected ScoreSaint Louis 82

Team Comparison

HofstraMetricSaint Louis

59.3MMH Power Index66.7

114.0Offensive Efficiency120.8

100.9Defensive Efficiency97.6

13.1Net Efficiency23.2

-2.9Strength of Schedule0.3

14.0Last 10 Net Efficiency0.1

66.2Tempo72.2

52.2%Effective FG%59.9%

16.1%Turnover Rate17.1%

35.0%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

32.0%Free Throw Rate33.9%

8.7Average Margin16.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Louis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Louis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (66.7–59.3), offensive efficiency (120.8–114.0), defensive efficiency (97.6–100.9), net efficiency (23.2–13.1).

Hofstra COUNTERS WITHrecent form (14.0–0.1), ball security (16.1–17.1), offensive rebounding (35.0–31.6).

Final

Hofstra

68—71

Saint Louis

Saint Louis by 3 • 63.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

HofstraTEAM STATSaint Louis

24-57FG24-53

42.0%FG%45.0%

7-253PT13-29

28.0%3PT%45.0%

13-14FT10-15

93.0%FT%67.0%

35Rebounds31

12Offensive Rebounds9

9Assists14

11Turnovers13

5Steals5

2Blocks2

17Fouls13

Player Box Score

Hofstra

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Thomas	Not Available	40	10-25	3-12	6-6	4	0	2	0	29
Darlinstone Dubar	Guard	31	5-11	2-5	1-2	11	1	2	1	13
Jaquan Carlos	Guard	36	3-6	1-3	4-4	3	8	0	0	11
Bryce Washington	Guard	28	2-6	1-3	0-0	5	0	1	0	5
Silas Sunday	F	27	1-1	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	1	2
Jacco Fritz	Forward	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Khalil Farmer	G	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Griffin Barrouk	G	9	0-2	0-2	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
KiJan Robinson	G	4	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Saint Louis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gibson Jimerson	Guard	38	6-16	5-11	4-6	2	2	0	0	21
Tim Dalger	Forward	35	7-15	3-8	3-5	5	5	0	0	20
Terrence Hargrove Jr.	Forward	33	7-10	3-4	2-3	7	0	2	0	19
Cian Medley	G	35	1-4	1-3	0-0	8	5	3	0	3
Kellen Thames	G	25	1-2	1-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	3
Bruce Zhang	Center	17	1-3	0-0	1-1	2	1	0	2	3
Djordje Curcic	G	15	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Stef van Bussel	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.4Possessions63.4

107.3Offensive Efficiency112.0

112.0Defensive Efficiency107.3

-4.7Net Efficiency4.7

48.2%Effective FG%57.5%

53.4%True Shooting %59.0%

17.6%Turnover Rate20.3%

24.6%Free Throw Rate28.3%

43.9%3-Point Rate54.7%

0.82Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Saint Louis won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 63.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.