Northwestern State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.7%Northwestern State

81.3%Southern Miss

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Miss -10.0

PROJECTED TOTAL142.1

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Miss -435

Southern Miss

19-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 66

Projected Total142.1

Projected ScoreSouthern Miss 76

Team Comparison

Northwestern StateMetricSouthern Miss

41.3MMH Power Index49.9

104.0Offensive Efficiency106.1

109.0Defensive Efficiency104.9

-5.0Net Efficiency1.2

-1.6Strength of Schedule-0.2

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency3.8

63.6Tempo70.4

49.5%Effective FG%49.9%

17.6%Turnover Rate18.4%

27.1%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

41.2%Free Throw Rate43.9%

-3.2Average Margin0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Miss HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Miss holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.9–41.3), offensive efficiency (106.1–104.0), defensive efficiency (104.9–109.0), net efficiency (1.2–-5.0).

Northwestern State COUNTERS WITHball security (17.6–18.4).

Final

Northwestern State

74—83

Southern Miss

Southern Miss by 9 • 66.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northwestern StateTEAM STATSouthern Miss

27-59FG30-61

46.0%FG%49.0%

11-273PT5-19

41.0%3PT%26.0%

9-16FT18-20

56.0%FT%90.0%

26Rebounds40

12Offensive Rebounds17

14Assists19

11Turnovers14

9Steals7

3Blocks4

18Fouls15

Player Box Score

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cliff Davis	G	38	8-18	7-14	1-2	8	2	1	0	24
Braelon Bush	G	35	6-13	2-4	1-2	3	4	4	0	15
Chase Forte	G	36	4-11	0-2	2-4	4	4	1	0	10
Jimel Lane	F	23	2-3	1-2	2-2	5	1	1	0	7
Justin Wilson	Forward	23	3-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	2	6
Jae Slack	F	13	2-5	0-1	1-4	3	1	1	0	5
Jamison Epps	Guard	23	1-2	0-1	2-2	0	2	0	1	4
Chris Mubiru	G	7	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Ryan Forrest	Guard	2	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Southern Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Victor Iwuakor	Forward	27	8-12	0-0	2-3	4	0	0	3	18
Victor Hart	Forward	36	5-11	1-2	6-6	12	5	3	1	17
Cobie Montgomery	Guard	27	7-13	2-8	1-1	5	1	1	0	17
Donovan Ivory	Guard	32	3-8	0-3	7-8	5	2	0	0	13
Austin Crowley	Guard	31	3-11	2-6	2-2	3	7	2	0	10
Mo Arnold	Guard	29	2-2	0-0	0-0	5	4	1	0	4
Tegra Izay	C	17	2-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	4
Jeffery Armstrong	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.6Possessions66.6

111.1Offensive Efficiency124.6

124.6Defensive Efficiency111.1

-13.5Net Efficiency13.5

55.1%Effective FG%53.3%

55.6%True Shooting %58.9%

16.8%Turnover Rate20.7%

27.1%Free Throw Rate32.8%

45.8%3-Point Rate31.1%

1.27Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

Southern Miss won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 66.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.