UAB

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.5%UAB

64.5%Arkansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas State -4.6

PROJECTED TOTAL160.1

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -182

Arkansas State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUAB 78

Projected Total160.1

Projected ScoreArkansas State 82

Team Comparison

UABMetricArkansas State

56.9MMH Power Index57.7

110.5Offensive Efficiency113.1

102.9Defensive Efficiency105.3

7.6Net Efficiency7.8

0.4Strength of Schedule-1.0

2.9Last 10 Net Efficiency15.2

71.7Tempo73.3

48.8%Effective FG%52.7%

12.4%Turnover Rate19.4%

32.7%Offensive Rebound %38.1%

36.9%Free Throw Rate39.6%

5.4Average Margin5.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.7–56.9), offensive efficiency (113.1–110.5), net efficiency (7.8–7.6), recent form (15.2–2.9).

UAB COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (102.9–105.3), strength of schedule (0.4–-1.0), ball security (12.4–19.4).

Final

UAB

68—87

Arkansas State

Arkansas State by 19 • 66.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UABTEAM STATArkansas State

25-57FG33-65

44.0%FG%51.0%

6-243PT13-30

25.0%3PT%43.0%

12-16FT8-11

75.0%FT%73.0%

37Rebounds32

11Offensive Rebounds9

14Assists21

13Turnovers5

5Steals10

5Blocks3

13Fouls14

Player Box Score

UAB

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Yaxel Lendeborg	F	32	6-9	0-2	5-6	10	5	1	5	17
Butta Johnson	G	32	4-11	2-8	2-2	5	2	0	0	12
Tony Toney	Guard	22	3-7	3-5	1-2	1	0	0	0	10
Eric Gaines	Guard	31	4-13	0-3	0-0	4	5	3	0	8
Daniel Ortiz	Guard	13	2-5	1-4	2-2	1	0	0	0	7
Alejandro Vasquez	Guard	20	3-6	0-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Christian Coleman	G	13	1-3	0-0	2-4	4	0	1	0	4
Javian Davis	Forward	27	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	0	2
James White	Guard	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Will Shaver	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Izaiyah Nelson	F	29	6-8	0-1	5-7	7	0	3	2	17
Avery Felts	Guard	21	5-8	5-8	0-0	2	2	0	0	15
Taryn Todd	Guard	21	5-11	2-3	1-1	2	1	2	0	13
Julian Lual	Guard	17	4-7	2-5	1-1	4	0	2	0	11
Dyondre Dominguez	Forward	32	4-7	2-5	0-0	10	5	3	0	10
Caleb Fields	Guard	33	4-11	0-2	1-2	3	7	0	0	9
Derrian Ford	G	16	2-5	2-5	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Lado Laku	Forward	12	2-3	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	1	4
Freddy Hicks	G	19	1-5	0-1	0-0	2	4	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

66.4Possessions66.4

102.4Offensive Efficiency131.0

131.0Defensive Efficiency102.4

-28.6Net Efficiency28.6

49.1%Effective FG%60.8%

52.6%True Shooting %61.9%

19.5%Turnover Rate7.6%

28.1%Free Throw Rate16.9%

42.1%3-Point Rate46.2%

1.08Assist / Turnover4.20

Game Summary

Arkansas State won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 66.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.