Northern Arizona

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.3%Northern Arizona

79.7%Incarnate Word

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIncarnate Word -9.9

PROJECTED TOTAL149.4

MODEL MONEYLINEIncarnate Word -393

Incarnate Word

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 70

Projected Total149.4

Projected ScoreIncarnate Word 80

Team Comparison

Northern ArizonaMetricIncarnate Word

36.9MMH Power Index44.6

107.1Offensive Efficiency112.0

114.8Defensive Efficiency111.2

-7.7Net Efficiency0.8

-1.8Strength of Schedule-3.6

-16.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.5

66.6Tempo66.3

53.5%Effective FG%52.2%

15.8%Turnover Rate16.8%

24.0%Offensive Rebound %34.4%

33.6%Free Throw Rate34.0%

-5.1Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Incarnate Word HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIncarnate Word holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.6–36.9), offensive efficiency (112.0–107.1), defensive efficiency (111.2–114.8), net efficiency (0.8–-7.7).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.8–-3.6), shooting efficiency (53.5–52.2), ball security (15.8–16.8).

Final

Northern Arizona

76—75

Incarnate Word

Northern Arizona by 1 • 69.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ArizonaTEAM STATIncarnate Word

28-59FG24-50

47.0%FG%48.0%

9-243PT8-22

38.0%3PT%36.0%

11-13FT19-26

85.0%FT%73.0%

25Rebounds34

4Offensive Rebounds7

15Assists11

8Turnovers14

6Steals5

1Blocks—

18Fouls14

Player Box Score

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trent McLaughlin	Guard	35	8-18	4-8	0-0	3	1	1	0	20
Diego Campisano	F	34	6-10	2-5	3-3	7	3	0	0	17
Jayden Jackson	G	33	4-8	0-0	6-7	3	3	0	0	14
Oakland Fort	G	31	4-9	1-5	0-0	3	2	1	1	9
C.J. Ford	Guard	21	3-4	2-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	8
Carson Basham	Forward	10	2-4	0-1	2-3	0	0	1	0	6
Liam Lloyd	Guard	32	1-6	0-3	0-0	5	5	3	0	2
Rockwell Reynolds	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Arman Madi	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Incarnate Word

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Skylar Wicks	G	31	9-20	3-6	7-7	5	1	1	28
Shon Robinson	Forward	31	8-10	3-3	8-13	8	3	1	27
Dylan Hayman	Forward	34	2-6	1-3	0-0	4	0	1	5
Josiah Hammons	G	29	1-5	0-4	2-4	2	0	0	4
Josh Morgan	Guard	16	1-3	0-2	2-2	1	0	0	4
Breno Silva	Forward	4	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	3
Elijah Davis	Guard	35	1-2	0-1	0-0	5	6	2	2
TJ Ford Jr.	G	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	2
Marcus Glover	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0
Davante Dennis	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Amani Drummond	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.3Possessions69.3

109.7Offensive Efficiency108.2

108.2Defensive Efficiency109.7

1.4Net Efficiency-1.4

55.1%Effective FG%56.0%

58.3%True Shooting %60.1%

11.6%Turnover Rate20.2%

22.0%Free Throw Rate52.0%

40.7%3-Point Rate44.0%

1.88Assist / Turnover0.79

Game Summary

Northern Arizona won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 69.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.