Cal State Fullerton

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.1%Cal State Fullerton

44.9%Sacramento State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Fullerton -1.0

PROJECTED TOTAL167.2

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Fullerton -123

Sacramento State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 84

Projected Total167.2

Projected ScoreSacramento State 83

Team Comparison

Cal State FullertonMetricSacramento State

49.4MMH Power Index43

108.8Offensive Efficiency106.1

107.1Defensive Efficiency112.0

1.7Net Efficiency-5.9

-1.2Strength of Schedule0.9

2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.8

76.3Tempo73.2

52.6%Effective FG%48.5%

15.1%Turnover Rate14.2%

25.5%Offensive Rebound %25.1%

39.6%Free Throw Rate41.8%

1.3Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Fullerton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Fullerton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–43.0), offensive efficiency (108.8–106.1), defensive efficiency (107.1–112.0), net efficiency (1.7–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-1.2), ball security (14.2–15.1), free throw rate (41.8–39.6).

Final

Cal State Fullerton

62—60

Sacramento State

Cal State Fullerton by 2 • 65.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State FullertonTEAM STATSacramento State

20-43FG20-51

47.0%FG%39.0%

3-103PT6-23

30.0%3PT%26.0%

19-28FT14-19

68.0%FT%74.0%

24Rebounds37

5Offensive Rebounds13

6Assists9

15Turnovers17

7Steals8

5Blocks3

19Fouls23

Player Box Score

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Brewton	Guard	36	9-17	0-0	5-9	5	0	0	1	23
Max Jones	Guard	35	2-9	1-3	3-4	3	3	4	0	8
Grayson Carper	Guard	30	2-4	2-4	1-2	5	0	0	1	7
Jalen Cooper	F	14	2-3	0-0	1-1	1	1	0	0	5
Beril Kabamba	Forward	13	0-0	0-0	3-4	0	1	1	0	3
John Mikey Square	Not Available	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Kendrick De Luna	F	12	0-0	0-0	2-4	1	0	1	2	2
Donovan Oday	G	11	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Zachary Visentin	Center	10	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	1	2

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Duncan Powell	F	29	4-11	1-5	4-6	9	2	1	0	13
Brandon Betson	Guard	26	3-5	3-5	2-2	3	1	1	0	11
Austin Patterson	Guard	29	4-8	1-4	1-1	4	1	1	0	10
Jacob Holt	Forward	18	2-4	1-2	5-6	6	0	0	1	10
Akol Mawein	Forward	20	4-5	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	2	8
Zee Hamoda	G	28	2-8	0-2	1-2	6	2	2	0	5
Emil Skytt	G	20	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	2
Alex Kovatchev	G	19	0-4	0-4	1-2	1	0	1	0	1
Kiir Kiir Chol Deng	Forward	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Bowyn Beatty	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Bailey Nunn	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.2Possessions65.2

95.1Offensive Efficiency92.0

92.0Defensive Efficiency95.1

3.1Net Efficiency-3.1

50.0%Effective FG%45.1%

55.1%True Shooting %50.0%

22.6%Turnover Rate26.6%

65.1%Free Throw Rate37.3%

23.3%3-Point Rate45.1%

0.40Assist / Turnover0.53

Game Summary

Cal State Fullerton won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 65.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.