Ohio State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

87.7%Ohio State

12.3%Penn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOhio State -11.6

PROJECTED TOTAL155.2

MODEL MONEYLINEOhio State -713

Penn State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOhio State 83

Projected Total155.2

Projected ScorePenn State 72

Team Comparison

Ohio StateMetricPenn State

64.5MMH Power Index42.3

118.1Offensive Efficiency109.2

108.1Defensive Efficiency117.6

10.0Net Efficiency-8.4

6.4Strength of Schedule5.3

6.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-20.8

67.2Tempo67.5

56.9%Effective FG%53.4%

15.3%Turnover Rate15.6%

30.7%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

38.3%Free Throw Rate34.6%

6.7Average Margin-5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Ohio State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMOhio State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.5–42.3), offensive efficiency (118.1–109.2), defensive efficiency (108.1–117.6), net efficiency (10.0–-8.4).

Final

Ohio State

80—83

Penn State

Penn State by 3 • 70.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ohio StateTEAM STATPenn State

27-60FG31-65

45.0%FG%48.0%

11-263PT10-24

42.0%3PT%42.0%

15-22FT11-19

68.0%FT%58.0%

43Rebounds31

15Offensive Rebounds12

21Assists11

16Turnovers8

2Steals10

3Blocks1

18Fouls18

Player Box Score

Ohio State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bruce Thornton	G	32	4-11	3-6	6-7	1	4	0	0	17
Jamison Battle	Forward	34	5-10	3-8	0-0	4	3	1	0	13
Zed Key	Forward	19	4-7	0-0	4-6	11	1	0	0	12
Roddy Gayle Jr.	G	27	3-8	3-4	2-2	3	4	1	0	11
Felix Okpara	F	20	4-5	0-0	1-2	8	0	0	1	9
Scotty Middleton	F	16	3-7	2-5	1-2	5	0	0	1	9
Evan Mahaffey	F	31	2-5	0-0	1-2	5	6	0	1	5
Dale Bonner	Guard	21	2-7	0-3	0-1	4	3	0	0	4

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kanye Clary	G	33	7-17	1-3	4-6	5	1	1	0	19
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	20	7-11	2-4	0-3	4	1	3	0	16
Leo O'Boyle	Forward	25	4-5	4-5	3-3	4	0	1	0	15
Zach Hicks	Forward	29	4-7	2-4	1-2	6	1	0	0	11
Qudus Wahab	Forward	22	4-5	0-0	2-2	5	0	1	1	10
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	35	4-11	1-5	0-0	3	5	3	0	9
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	14	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	0	2
Puff Johnson	G	19	0-5	0-2	1-3	2	1	0	0	1
RayQuawndis Mitchell	Guard	3	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.8Possessions70.8

113.0Offensive Efficiency117.2

117.2Defensive Efficiency113.0

-4.2Net Efficiency4.2

54.2%Effective FG%55.4%

56.8%True Shooting %56.1%

22.4%Turnover Rate11.4%

36.7%Free Throw Rate29.2%

43.3%3-Point Rate36.9%

1.31Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

Penn State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 70.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.