Cincinnati

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

69.6%Cincinnati

30.4%Xavier

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCincinnati -5.0

PROJECTED TOTAL151.6

MODEL MONEYLINECincinnati -229

Xavier

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCincinnati 78

Projected Total151.6

Projected ScoreXavier 73

Team Comparison

CincinnatiMetricXavier

61.5MMH Power Index49.5

105.3Offensive Efficiency109.2

97.3Defensive Efficiency112.4

8.0Net Efficiency-3.2

5.1Strength of Schedule5.6

14.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.4

69.4Tempo71.7

50.6%Effective FG%51.7%

17.0%Turnover Rate13.9%

30.6%Offensive Rebound %26.2%

30.7%Free Throw Rate28.9%

5.5Average Margin-2.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cincinnati HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCincinnati holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.5–49.5), defensive efficiency (97.3–112.4), net efficiency (8.0–-3.2), recent form (14.4–-7.4).

Xavier COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.2–105.3), strength of schedule (5.6–5.1), shooting efficiency (51.7–50.6).

Final

Cincinnati

79—84

Xavier

Xavier by 5 • 75.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CincinnatiTEAM STATXavier

32-74FG27-65

43.0%FG%42.0%

5-233PT8-17

22.0%3PT%47.0%

10-16FT22-26

63.0%FT%85.0%

45Rebounds41

16Offensive Rebounds11

15Assists20

11Turnovers8

4Steals7

7Blocks3

21Fouls19

Player Box Score

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jizzle James	G	21	7-13	2-3	3-4	1	1	0	1	19
John Newman III	Forward	30	7-10	1-2	3-4	8	2	1	0	18
Viktor Lakhin	Center	30	8-17	1-7	0-2	8	3	0	0	17
Day Day Thomas	G	18	6-10	1-2	2-2	0	2	1	0	15
Aziz Bandaogo	Forward	25	1-2	0-0	1-2	10	1	1	2	3
Ody Oguama	Forward	15	1-2	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	3	3
Dan Skillings Jr.	G	23	1-7	0-2	0-0	6	1	0	1	2
Simas Lukosius	Guard	17	1-9	0-4	0-0	3	3	0	0	2
CJ Fredrick Jr.	Guard	21	0-4	0-3	0-0	1	2	1	0	0

Xavier

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quincy Olivari	Guard	36	6-14	6-8	9-9	2	1	0	0	27
Dayvion McKnight	Guard	39	5-13	2-4	8-8	8	4	3	0	20
Desmond Claude	G	30	5-15	0-3	1-3	6	6	0	0	11
Abou Ousmane	Forward	24	5-9	0-1	0-0	11	2	1	0	10
Sasa Ciani	F	16	3-5	0-0	1-2	6	4	2	1	7
Dailyn Swain	G	13	1-2	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	2	4
Gytis Nemeiksa	F	18	1-5	0-1	1-2	3	1	0	0	3
Lazar Djokovic	F	20	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Trey Green	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.5Possessions75.5

104.6Offensive Efficiency111.3

111.3Defensive Efficiency104.6

-6.6Net Efficiency6.6

46.6%Effective FG%47.7%

48.4%True Shooting %54.3%

14.4%Turnover Rate10.8%

21.6%Free Throw Rate40.0%

31.1%3-Point Rate26.2%

1.36Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

Xavier won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 75.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.