Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.2%Cal State Bakersfield

85.8%South Dakota

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Dakota -12.6

PROJECTED TOTAL161.5

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Dakota -604

South Dakota

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 74

Projected Total161.5

Projected ScoreSouth Dakota 87

Team Comparison

Cal State BakersfieldMetricSouth Dakota

32.2MMH Power Index43.8

100.2Offensive Efficiency110.0

112.6Defensive Efficiency110.8

-12.4Net Efficiency-0.8

-1.7Strength of Schedule-4.9

-18.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.0

73.0Tempo72.4

46.4%Effective FG%50.9%

18.6%Turnover Rate16.3%

30.2%Offensive Rebound %29.8%

43.8%Free Throw Rate46.2%

-9.1Average Margin-0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Dakota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Dakota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.8–32.2), offensive efficiency (110.0–100.2), defensive efficiency (110.8–112.6), net efficiency (-0.8–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-4.9), offensive rebounding (30.2–29.8).

Final

Cal State Bakersfield

73—78

South Dakota

South Dakota by 5 • 65.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State BakersfieldTEAM STATSouth Dakota

30-68FG26-49

44.0%FG%53.0%

3-173PT7-20

18.0%3PT%35.0%

10-16FT19-30

63.0%FT%63.0%

38Rebounds30

17Offensive Rebounds6

14Assists16

8Turnovers8

3Steals1

—Blocks1

24Fouls15

Player Box Score

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Fidelis Okereke	Forward	24	7-12	0-1	2-4	7	0	2	16
Ugnius Jarusevicius	F	17	8-12	0-3	0-1	1	0	0	16
Kaleb Higgins	Guard	30	6-15	1-4	0-0	3	6	0	13
Corey Stephenson	G	16	4-7	0-2	1-1	3	1	0	9
Marvin McGhee III	G	32	2-7	2-5	0-0	4	2	0	6
Naseem Gaskin	Guard	13	1-2	0-0	3-4	3	3	0	5
Modestas Kancleris	Forward	20	1-4	0-1	1-2	5	0	1	3
Cameron Wilbon	Guard	17	0-2	0-0	3-4	4	0	0	3
Jaden Alexander	G	16	1-5	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	2
Kareem Watson	F	15	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0

South Dakota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lahat Thioune	Forward	33	9-10	0-0	5-8	10	2	0	0	23
Bostyn Holt	Guard	34	4-11	1-2	6-9	3	7	0	1	15
Paul Bruns	Guard	36	4-10	2-8	2-4	4	0	0	0	12
Isaac Bruns	G	18	5-10	1-5	1-3	1	1	0	0	12
Max Burchill	Guard	29	1-5	1-3	5-6	2	5	1	0	8
Steven Kramer	Guard	29	2-2	2-2	0-0	4	1	0	0	6
Felix Brostrom	Forward	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jake Brack	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Mayuom Buom	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.9Possessions65.9

110.8Offensive Efficiency118.4

118.4Defensive Efficiency110.8

-7.6Net Efficiency7.6

46.3%Effective FG%60.2%

48.3%True Shooting %61.7%

12.0%Turnover Rate12.3%

23.5%Free Throw Rate61.2%

25.0%3-Point Rate40.8%

1.75Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

South Dakota won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 65.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.