Sam Houston

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

51.2%Sam Houston

48.8%Missouri State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSam Houston -0.4

PROJECTED TOTAL155.7

MODEL MONEYLINESam Houston -105

Missouri State

16-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSam Houston 78

Projected Total155.7

Projected ScoreMissouri State 78

Team Comparison

Sam HoustonMetricMissouri State

56.1MMH Power Index51.1

115.5Offensive Efficiency110.5

105.5Defensive Efficiency108.4

10.0Net Efficiency2.1

-2.2Strength of Schedule0.5

3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.1

71.2Tempo67.9

53.2%Effective FG%51.8%

16.6%Turnover Rate16.4%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

34.8%Free Throw Rate42.9%

7.1Average Margin1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Sam Houston HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSam Houston holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.1–51.1), offensive efficiency (115.5–110.5), defensive efficiency (105.5–108.4), net efficiency (10.0–2.1).

Missouri State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-2.2), ball security (16.4–16.6), free throw rate (42.9–34.8).

Final

Sam Houston

60—69

Missouri State

Missouri State by 9 • 71.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sam HoustonTEAM STATMissouri State

21-71FG21-50

30.0%FG%42.0%

5-193PT5-26

26.0%3PT%19.0%

13-19FT22-29

68.0%FT%76.0%

42Rebounds42

17Offensive Rebounds7

8Assists8

10Turnovers13

6Steals5

—Blocks14

22Fouls15

Player Box Score

Sam Houston

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Davon Barnes	Not Available	31	3-12	1-2	9-9	3	1	1	16
Kian Scroggins	Forward	27	4-8	0-0	2-5	10	1	0	10
Cameron Huefner	Forward	25	4-10	2-6	0-0	3	0	2	10
Marcus Boykin	Guard	19	4-9	0-2	1-2	1	2	0	9
Lamar Wilkerson	G	29	3-10	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	6
Jaden Ray	Guard	23	2-10	2-6	0-0	3	0	0	6
Damon Nicholas Jr.	G	22	1-9	0-1	0-1	11	4	1	2
Anthony Wrzeszcz	G	4	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	1
Souleymane Doumbia	Forward	13	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donovan Clay	Guard	34	4-11	1-5	11-14	6	4	0	1	20
Alston Mason	Guard	36	6-12	2-7	4-5	3	3	1	0	18
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	30	4-5	0-1	5-7	4	1	2	3	13
Chance Moore	G	33	3-10	1-8	0-0	7	0	0	1	7
Tyler Bey	G	16	3-6	1-2	0-0	2	0	1	2	7
NJ Benson	F	31	1-3	0-0	1-1	6	0	1	7	3
Dawson Carper	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Raphe Ayres	Guard	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Cesare Edwards	Center	8	0-2	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.4Possessions71.4

84.0Offensive Efficiency96.6

96.6Defensive Efficiency84.0

-12.6Net Efficiency12.6

33.1%Effective FG%47.0%

37.5%True Shooting %54.1%

13.7%Turnover Rate18.6%

26.8%Free Throw Rate58.0%

26.8%3-Point Rate52.0%

0.80Assist / Turnover0.62

Game Summary

Missouri State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 71.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.