UCLA

24-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.3%UCLA

52.7%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -2.3

PROJECTED TOTAL149.9

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -111

Villanova

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUCLA 74

Projected Total149.9

Projected ScoreVillanova 76

Team Comparison

UCLAMetricVillanova

63MMH Power Index59.4

115.9Offensive Efficiency114.7

106.9Defensive Efficiency105.9

9.0Net Efficiency8.8

5.1Strength of Schedule4.4

8.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.1

66.5Tempo67.3

53.5%Effective FG%53.9%

13.4%Turnover Rate15.0%

30.7%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

33.8%Free Throw Rate31.4%

6.0Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UCLA HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUCLA holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.0–59.4), offensive efficiency (115.9–114.7), net efficiency (9.0–8.8), strength of schedule (5.1–4.4).

Villanova COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.9–106.9), shooting efficiency (53.9–53.5), offensive rebounding (31.8–30.7).

Final

UCLA

56—65

Villanova

Villanova by 9 • 62.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UCLATEAM STATVillanova

22-60FG19-58

37.0%FG%33.0%

7-193PT11-35

37.0%3PT%31.0%

5-6FT16-21

83.0%FT%76.0%

38Rebounds43

10Offensive Rebounds14

13Assists12

10Turnovers7

4Steals5

6Blocks3

18Fouls12

Player Box Score

UCLA

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lazar Stefanovic	Guard	38	5-19	2-7	2-2	9	3	0	1	14
Adem Bona	Center	30	4-8	0-0	3-3	8	1	1	3	11
Will McClendon	G	32	3-7	3-4	0-0	2	2	0	1	9
Aday Mara	C	25	4-7	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	1	8
Dylan Andrews	G	24	3-7	2-5	0-0	0	4	0	0	8
Sebastian Mack	G	29	3-10	0-2	0-1	3	2	1	0	6
Ilane Fibleuil	Guard	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	0	1	0	0
Jan Vide	G	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Kenneth Nwuba	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Burton	Forward	34	3-12	1-7	11-14	10	1	1	1	18
Hakim Hart	Guard	27	3-7	3-5	1-2	5	2	0	0	10
Jordan Longino	Guard	29	3-10	2-6	1-2	1	2	2	0	9
TJ Bamba	Guard	23	3-8	1-4	2-2	6	1	1	0	9
Mark Armstrong	Guard	22	3-6	1-4	0-0	3	3	1	0	7
Eric Dixon	Forward	29	2-7	1-4	1-1	10	2	0	0	6
Brendan Hausen	G	17	2-5	2-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Lance Ware	Forward	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Nnanna Njoku	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2	0
Chris Arcidiacono	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.0Possessions62.0

90.3Offensive Efficiency104.8

104.8Defensive Efficiency90.3

-14.5Net Efficiency14.5

42.5%Effective FG%42.2%

44.6%True Shooting %47.8%

15.9%Turnover Rate11.5%

10.0%Free Throw Rate36.2%

31.7%3-Point Rate60.3%

1.30Assist / Turnover1.71

Game Summary

Villanova won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 62.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.