Pacific

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.3%Pacific

55.7%Fresno State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFresno State -1.7

PROJECTED TOTAL144.1

MODEL MONEYLINEFresno State -126

Fresno State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePacific 71

Projected Total144.1

Projected ScoreFresno State 73

Team Comparison

PacificMetricFresno State

49.6MMH Power Index47.1

109.9Offensive Efficiency104.9

104.0Defensive Efficiency104.9

5.9Net Efficiency0.0

-1.5Strength of Schedule1.5

-5.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.0

66.2Tempo69.4

53.5%Effective FG%51.3%

19.7%Turnover Rate18.2%

35.3%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

30.9%Free Throw Rate35.5%

3.9Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Pacific HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPacific holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.6–47.1), offensive efficiency (109.9–104.9), defensive efficiency (104.0–104.9), net efficiency (5.9–0.0).

Fresno State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.5–-1.5), ball security (18.2–19.7), free throw rate (35.5–30.9).

Final

Pacific

56—89

Fresno State

Fresno State by 33 • 61.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PacificTEAM STATFresno State

22-58FG33-51

38.0%FG%65.0%

7-253PT16-28

28.0%3PT%57.0%

5-12FT7-14

42.0%FT%50.0%

25Rebounds36

10Offensive Rebounds5

6Assists22

8Turnovers8

4Steals5

1Blocks3

10Fouls10

Player Box Score

Pacific

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cam Denson	F	26	7-11	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	0	14
Donovan Williams	Guard	31	2-10	2-7	3-7	2	0	1	0	9
Tan Yildizoglu	G	28	3-5	0-2	1-3	1	3	0	0	7
Greg Outlaw	Guard	20	2-8	2-3	1-2	1	0	1	1	7
Burke Smith	Forward	18	3-6	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	7
Maurice Odum	G	18	3-6	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	7
Judson Martindale	Forward	30	1-7	1-5	0-0	6	0	0	0	3
Makai Richards	C	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Lesown Hallums Jr.	Guard	16	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Tyler Beard	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Villiam Garcia Adsten	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Jalen Brown	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Xavier DuSell	Guard	27	6-9	6-9	1-2	1	2	0	0	19
Isaiah Hill	Guard	32	5-9	5-7	2-2	3	5	0	0	17
Leo Colimerio	Forward	22	6-7	1-2	0-0	7	0	1	0	13
Isaac Taveras	G	12	5-7	0-0	0-0	1	3	1	0	10
Donavan Yap	Guard	28	2-7	2-6	1-2	1	4	2	0	7
Isaiah Pope	Guard	19	3-4	1-2	0-0	2	3	1	0	7
Eduardo Andre	Center	27	3-4	0-0	0-0	10	3	0	3	6
Enoch Boakye	Forward	18	2-2	0-0	2-6	9	1	0	0	6
Steven Vasquez	Guard	3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Jalen Weaver	Guard	7	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	1	0	0	1
Pierre Geneste Jr.	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
AJ Robinson	Guard	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jeff Sims Jr.	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.2Possessions61.2

91.5Offensive Efficiency145.4

145.4Defensive Efficiency91.5

-53.9Net Efficiency53.9

44.0%Effective FG%80.4%

44.0%True Shooting %77.2%

13.0%Turnover Rate13.2%

20.7%Free Throw Rate27.5%

43.1%3-Point Rate54.9%

0.75Assist / Turnover2.75

Game Summary

Fresno State won by 33 points. The game played at approximately 61.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.