Murray State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.5%Murray State

65.5%Austin Peay

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAustin Peay -5.8

PROJECTED TOTAL163.3

MODEL MONEYLINEAustin Peay -190

Austin Peay

22-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMurray State 79

Projected Total163.3

Projected ScoreAustin Peay 85

Team Comparison

Murray StateMetricAustin Peay

53.6MMH Power Index54.8

115.0Offensive Efficiency115.0

111.0Defensive Efficiency103.1

4.0Net Efficiency11.9

3.5Strength of Schedule-5.8

-9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency8.1

72.3Tempo71.0

54.0%Effective FG%53.9%

16.3%Turnover Rate15.3%

32.7%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

39.1%Free Throw Rate39.0%

2.9Average Margin8.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Austin Peay HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAustin Peay holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.8–53.6), defensive efficiency (103.1–111.0), net efficiency (11.9–4.0), recent form (8.1–-9.5).

Murray State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (3.5–-5.8), shooting efficiency (54.0–53.9), offensive rebounding (32.7–30.3).

Final

Murray State

49—53

Austin Peay

Austin Peay by 4 • 57.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Murray StateTEAM STATAustin Peay

19-51FG20-59

37.0%FG%34.0%

7-253PT5-21

28.0%3PT%24.0%

4-8FT8-10

50.0%FT%80.0%

37Rebounds38

7Offensive Rebounds11

11Assists6

10Turnovers4

1Steals4

2Blocks3

14Fouls9

Player Box Score

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brian Moore Jr.	G	30	5-12	2-3	0-0	2	3	0	0	12
Nick Ellington	F	29	5-7	0-0	1-2	6	0	0	2	11
Rob Perry	Guard	35	3-9	1-6	1-2	7	1	0	0	8
Quincy Anderson	Guard	26	2-6	2-5	0-0	5	1	1	0	6
JaCobi Wood	Guard	35	1-6	1-4	2-4	4	2	0	0	5
Shawn Walker Jr.	Guard	22	2-6	1-4	0-0	3	3	0	0	5
Malek Abdelgowad	F	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Justin Morgan	Guard	12	0-4	0-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Samuel Murray	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Austin Peay

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DeMarcus Sharp	Guard	40	8-23	0-1	4-5	9	4	2	0	20
Dezi Jones	Guard	36	3-12	2-9	2-2	2	1	0	0	10
Ja'Monta Black	Guard	40	3-9	3-9	0-0	4	0	0	0	9
Sai Witt	Forward	21	3-9	0-0	2-2	5	0	1	0	8
Hansel Enmanuel	PG	19	2-3	0-0	0-1	9	1	0	3	4
Daniel Loos	Forward	19	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	2
Dez White	G	25	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

57.3Possessions57.3

85.5Offensive Efficiency92.5

92.5Defensive Efficiency85.5

-7.0Net Efficiency7.0

44.1%Effective FG%38.1%

44.7%True Shooting %41.6%

17.3%Turnover Rate7.0%

15.7%Free Throw Rate16.9%

49.0%3-Point Rate35.6%

1.10Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Austin Peay won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 57.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.