Idaho State

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.0%Idaho State

48.0%Southern Utah

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Utah -0.6

PROJECTED TOTAL156.2

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho State -108

Southern Utah

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho State 78

Projected Total156.2

Projected ScoreSouthern Utah 78

Team Comparison

Idaho StateMetricSouthern Utah

45.9MMH Power Index40.6

111.0Offensive Efficiency105.6

113.4Defensive Efficiency110.0

-2.4Net Efficiency-4.4

0.2Strength of Schedule-3.0

-9.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.3

67.1Tempo72.3

52.2%Effective FG%52.6%

16.5%Turnover Rate19.6%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

39.1%Free Throw Rate34.4%

-1.6Average Margin-3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.9–40.6), offensive efficiency (111.0–105.6), net efficiency (-2.4–-4.4), strength of schedule (0.2–-3.0).

Southern Utah COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.0–113.4), recent form (-3.3–-9.6), shooting efficiency (52.6–52.2).

Final

Idaho State

74—82

Southern Utah

Southern Utah by 8 • 69.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Idaho StateTEAM STATSouthern Utah

31-54FG33-62

57.0%FG%53.0%

5-143PT4-19

36.0%3PT%21.0%

7-12FT12-17

58.0%FT%71.0%

33Rebounds27

9Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists16

19Turnovers8

4Steals8

2Blocks—

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kiree Huie	F	29	10-12	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	2	20
Brayden Parker	Center	32	8-10	0-1	0-1	6	1	1	0	16
Miguel Tomley	Guard	32	4-13	3-10	1-2	3	2	0	0	12
Isaiah Griffin	F	34	4-9	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	0	8
Maleek Arington	G	39	0-2	0-0	6-9	3	5	2	0	6
Trent Johnson	F	17	2-3	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Kolton Mitchell	G	9	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
AJ Burgin	Guard	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Gavin Gilstrap	Center	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2

Southern Utah

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Parsa Fallah	F	34	13-16	0-0	3-3	7	1	1	29
Prophet Johnson	G	36	6-12	0-2	3-6	3	3	1	15
Zion Young	Guard	20	4-6	2-4	2-2	4	1	0	12
Dominique Ford	G	38	5-7	0-2	0-0	2	3	2	10
Braden Housley	G	39	2-11	1-6	2-4	3	7	4	7
Brock Felder	F	5	2-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	4
Nestor Dyachok	F	16	1-5	1-5	0-0	0	1	0	3
Chazz Hutchison	Forward	7	0-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	2
Hayden Ledbetter	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.9Possessions69.9

105.9Offensive Efficiency117.3

117.3Defensive Efficiency105.9

-11.4Net Efficiency11.4

62.0%Effective FG%56.5%

62.0%True Shooting %58.5%

27.3%Turnover Rate11.4%

22.2%Free Throw Rate27.4%

25.9%3-Point Rate30.6%

0.58Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Southern Utah won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 69.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.