Belmont

26-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

62.9%Belmont

37.1%Middle Tennessee

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -3.2

PROJECTED TOTAL155.3

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -170

Middle Tennessee

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBelmont 79

Projected Total155.3

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 76

Team Comparison

BelmontMetricMiddle Tennessee

61.8MMH Power Index52.5

118.6Offensive Efficiency109.6

103.7Defensive Efficiency105.7

14.9Net Efficiency3.9

-0.2Strength of Schedule0.4

10.0Last 10 Net Efficiency3.2

70.7Tempo68.8

60.7%Effective FG%52.2%

17.8%Turnover Rate16.7%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

32.7%Free Throw Rate33.2%

10.5Average Margin2.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–52.5), offensive efficiency (118.6–109.6), defensive efficiency (103.7–105.7), net efficiency (14.9–3.9).

Middle Tennessee COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.4–-0.2), ball security (16.7–17.8), offensive rebounding (31.3–28.8).

Final

Belmont

75—65

Middle Tennessee

Belmont by 10 • 65.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BelmontTEAM STATMiddle Tennessee

29-54FG22-55

54.0%FG%40.0%

6-123PT7-23

50.0%3PT%30.0%

11-16FT14-23

69.0%FT%61.0%

32Rebounds33

7Offensive Rebounds12

13Assists12

10Turnovers12

9Steals6

1Blocks5

18Fouls14

Player Box Score

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ja'Kobi Gillespie	G	37	9-12	2-2	3-3	3	3	4	0	23
Malik Dia	F	24	8-15	1-2	5-7	4	2	1	1	22
Isaiah Walker	G	33	4-5	3-3	0-0	6	1	0	0	11
Cade Tyson	G	29	4-8	0-1	2-4	5	2	0	0	10
Jayce Willingham	Guard	28	2-6	0-2	1-1	6	2	3	0	5
Brigham Rogers	F	14	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Keishawn Davidson	Guard	25	0-4	0-2	0-0	1	3	1	0	0
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Win Miller	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	0

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elias King	Guard	38	9-18	5-10	4-7	5	1	1	0	27
Chris Loofe	F	22	6-6	0-0	0-2	5	1	1	1	12
Jared Coleman-Jones	Forward	16	2-5	0-0	7-10	7	1	0	0	11
Jalen Jordan	Guard	28	3-5	1-3	0-0	2	1	2	0	7
Jestin Porter	G	26	1-8	1-5	0-0	3	1	1	1	3
Jacob Johnson	Guard	21	0-2	0-0	3-4	2	4	0	2	3
Justin Bufford	Guard	28	1-8	0-4	0-0	2	2	0	1	2
Ty Mosley	Guard	19	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Tre Green	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.3Possessions65.3

114.9Offensive Efficiency99.5

99.5Defensive Efficiency114.9

15.3Net Efficiency-15.3

59.3%Effective FG%46.4%

60.9%True Shooting %49.3%

15.5%Turnover Rate18.2%

29.6%Free Throw Rate41.8%

22.2%3-Point Rate41.8%

1.30Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Belmont won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 65.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.