Arizona State

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

67.7%Arizona State

32.3%San Diego

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArizona State -2.8

PROJECTED TOTAL156.3

MODEL MONEYLINEArizona State -210

San Diego

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArizona State 80

Projected Total156.3

Projected ScoreSan Diego 77

Team Comparison

Arizona StateMetricSan Diego

51MMH Power Index39.8

108.1Offensive Efficiency106.2

110.9Defensive Efficiency111.1

-2.8Net Efficiency-4.9

7.0Strength of Schedule-1.2

-7.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-12.2

70.6Tempo70.1

51.3%Effective FG%52.0%

17.1%Turnover Rate17.8%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

40.2%Free Throw Rate26.3%

-1.9Average Margin-3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arizona State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArizona State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.0–39.8), offensive efficiency (108.1–106.2), defensive efficiency (110.9–111.1), net efficiency (-2.8–-4.9).

San Diego COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (52.0–51.3).

Final

Arizona State

84—89

San Diego

San Diego by 5 • 77.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arizona StateTEAM STATSan Diego

29-61FG33-71

48.0%FG%46.0%

12-293PT12-29

41.0%3PT%41.0%

14-24FT11-15

58.0%FT%73.0%

33Rebounds46

7Offensive Rebounds15

19Assists21

12Turnovers14

13Steals7

5Blocks2

12Fouls17

Player Box Score

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamiya Neal	Guard	36	6-12	5-8	3-4	6	1	3	0	20
Jose Perez	Guard	35	5-7	0-1	5-8	5	7	3	1	15
Frankie Collins	G	33	6-14	1-5	2-4	9	5	2	1	15
Brycen Long	G	18	4-4	4-4	3-3	0	0	2	0	15
Alonzo Gaffney	Forward	34	5-14	1-8	0-0	3	0	1	3	11
Bryant Selebangue	F	19	2-4	0-0	1-2	6	1	1	0	5
Braelon Green	G	6	1-1	1-1	0-3	2	0	0	0	3
Kamari Lands	G	17	0-5	0-2	0-0	2	5	1	0	0
Akil Watson	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Deuce Turner	G	32	9-16	5-8	0-0	5	5	1	0	23
PJ Hayes IV	Guard	28	6-14	5-12	6-7	6	1	1	0	23
Wayne McKinney III	Guard	33	5-14	1-4	4-6	7	4	3	0	15
Steven Jamerson II	F	20	5-7	0-0	0-0	9	2	0	0	10
Jimmy Oladokun Jr.	F	19	4-6	0-0	1-2	3	1	1	0	9
Kevin Patton Jr.	G	11	2-5	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Dominic Muncey	Guard	13	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Keyon Kensie Jr.	G	13	1-4	0-2	0-0	0	1	1	1	2
Deven Dahlke	Guard	14	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	4	0	0	0
Santiago Trouet	F	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	7	1	0	0	0
David Simon	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.3Possessions77.3

108.7Offensive Efficiency115.1

115.1Defensive Efficiency108.7

-6.5Net Efficiency6.5

57.4%Effective FG%54.9%

58.0%True Shooting %57.0%

15.5%Turnover Rate18.2%

39.3%Free Throw Rate21.1%

47.5%3-Point Rate40.8%

1.58Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

San Diego won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 77.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.