Ole Miss

15-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.6%Ole Miss

72.4%UCF

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUCF -7.3

PROJECTED TOTAL158.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUCF -262

UCF

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOle Miss 76

Projected Total158.8

Projected ScoreUCF 83

Team Comparison

Ole MissMetricUCF

53MMH Power Index57.1

109.2Offensive Efficiency113.3

109.5Defensive Efficiency110.0

-0.3Net Efficiency3.3

5.4Strength of Schedule6.6

-2.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.8

69.5Tempo71.2

50.6%Effective FG%53.0%

14.0%Turnover Rate16.0%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

33.8%Free Throw Rate31.1%

-0.2Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UCF HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUCF holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.1–53.0), offensive efficiency (113.3–109.2), net efficiency (3.3–-0.3), strength of schedule (6.6–5.4).

Ole Miss COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.5–110.0), recent form (-2.3–-3.8), ball security (14.0–16.0).

Final

Ole Miss

70—68

UCF

Ole Miss by 2 • 69.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ole MissTEAM STATUCF

20-45FG21-57

44.0%FG%37.0%

6-153PT4-22

40.0%3PT%18.0%

24-34FT22-34

71.0%FT%65.0%

29Rebounds39

7Offensive Rebounds18

11Assists11

15Turnovers14

8Steals13

6Blocks6

23Fouls22

Player Box Score

Ole Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Allen Flanigan	Guard	38	5-11	1-2	7-8	7	1	5	1	18
T.J. Caldwell	G	26	2-3	1-2	9-11	5	0	1	0	14
Matthew Murrell	Guard	27	5-9	2-3	0-0	2	3	0	0	12
Jaylen Murray	Guard	26	3-8	2-5	2-4	2	1	0	0	10
Moussa Cisse	Center	24	2-5	0-0	4-9	4	0	1	4	8
Jaemyn Brakefield	Forward	31	2-6	0-2	2-2	7	2	1	0	6
Jamarion Sharp	Forward	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Austin Nunez	G	17	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	4	0	0	0

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darius Johnson	Guard	36	9-16	2-5	5-8	1	3	5	1	25
Shemarri Allen	Guard	26	5-10	0-2	4-4	3	2	0	0	14
Jaylin Sellers	G	32	3-12	0-5	5-7	4	1	4	0	11
Marchelus Avery	Forward	29	2-8	2-6	2-2	4	0	3	0	8
Omar Payne	Forward	23	2-2	0-0	2-4	10	2	0	2	6
Antwann Jones	G	16	0-2	0-1	3-6	4	3	0	0	3
Ibrahima Diallo	Forward	14	0-2	0-0	1-2	3	0	1	1	1
Thierno Sylla	C	16	0-5	0-3	0-1	2	0	0	2	0
DeMarr Langford Jr.	Not Available	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Nils Machowski	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.2Possessions69.2

101.2Offensive Efficiency98.3

98.3Defensive Efficiency101.2

2.9Net Efficiency-2.9

51.1%Effective FG%40.4%

57.2%True Shooting %46.5%

21.7%Turnover Rate20.2%

75.6%Free Throw Rate59.6%

33.3%3-Point Rate38.6%

0.73Assist / Turnover0.79

Game Summary

Ole Miss won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 69.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.