Tennessee State

23-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

58.1%Tennessee State

41.9%Lipscomb

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTennessee State -1.1

PROJECTED TOTAL155.3

MODEL MONEYLINETennessee State -139

Lipscomb

18-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTennessee State 78

Projected Total155.3

Projected ScoreLipscomb 77

Team Comparison

Tennessee StateMetricLipscomb

55.4MMH Power Index47.9

110.9Offensive Efficiency111.3

102.7Defensive Efficiency107.6

8.2Net Efficiency3.7

-3.1Strength of Schedule-2.5

13.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.0

72.4Tempo68.8

50.9%Effective FG%54.8%

17.0%Turnover Rate16.0%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %25.9%

34.7%Free Throw Rate26.5%

5.9Average Margin2.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–47.9), defensive efficiency (102.7–107.6), net efficiency (8.2–3.7), recent form (13.7–-1.0).

Lipscomb COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (111.3–110.9), strength of schedule (-2.5–-3.1), shooting efficiency (54.8–50.9).

Final

Tennessee State

71—78

Lipscomb

Lipscomb by 7 • 71.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tennessee StateTEAM STATLipscomb

26-70FG24-51

37.0%FG%47.0%

9-323PT6-19

28.0%3PT%32.0%

10-16FT24-31

63.0%FT%77.0%

36Rebounds42

13Offensive Rebounds8

13Assists13

8Turnovers13

8Steals6

4Blocks6

18Fouls11

Player Box Score

Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Christian Brown	Guard	31	5-15	2-9	5-6	5	1	1	0	17
Jaylen Jones	G	34	4-14	4-9	0-2	5	3	2	0	12
EJ Bellinger	Guard	32	5-13	2-5	0-0	5	3	2	2	12
Marcus Fitzgerald Jr.	G	31	4-12	0-4	3-6	3	6	2	0	11
Kinyon Hodges	Guard	23	3-6	1-2	2-2	5	0	0	0	9
Michael Shanks	Forward	24	3-6	0-2	0-0	6	0	0	1	6
David Acosta	Forward	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Knute Wood	Guard	8	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Denim Dawson	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Justin Williams	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Lipscomb

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Will Pruitt	Guard	38	4-11	0-1	11-13	8	3	1	0	19
Joe Anderson	Guard	36	6-8	1-2	2-2	4	5	2	0	15
AJ McGinnis	Guard	34	2-9	2-8	7-8	3	3	1	0	13
Dylan Faulkner	F	19	4-5	0-0	2-3	9	0	0	4	10
Rylan Houck	Forward	20	3-3	0-0	2-4	2	0	1	1	8
Cody Head	G	21	2-5	1-2	0-0	5	1	1	0	5
Jason Montgomery	Guard	9	2-4	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	5
Owen McCormack	Center	21	1-5	1-4	0-1	4	1	0	0	3
TJ Johnson	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.7Possessions71.7

99.0Offensive Efficiency108.8

108.8Defensive Efficiency99.0

-9.8Net Efficiency9.8

43.6%Effective FG%52.9%

45.7%True Shooting %59.3%

11.0%Turnover Rate18.4%

22.9%Free Throw Rate60.8%

45.7%3-Point Rate37.3%

1.63Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Lipscomb won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 71.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.