Jacksonville

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

72.1%Jacksonville

27.9%South Carolina State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville -6.4

PROJECTED TOTAL147.5

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville -258

South Carolina State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJacksonville 77

Projected Total147.5

Projected ScoreSouth Carolina State 71

Team Comparison

JacksonvilleMetricSouth Carolina State

43.6MMH Power Index30.5

109.8Offensive Efficiency95.6

110.3Defensive Efficiency112.3

-0.5Net Efficiency-16.7

-4.8Strength of Schedule-2.7

-3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.9

66.6Tempo70.2

51.7%Effective FG%46.7%

16.9%Turnover Rate21.1%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %31.7%

33.9%Free Throw Rate42.0%

-0.3Average Margin-11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jacksonville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJacksonville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.6–30.5), offensive efficiency (109.8–95.6), defensive efficiency (110.3–112.3), net efficiency (-0.5–-16.7).

South Carolina State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.7–-4.8), free throw rate (42.0–33.9).

Final

Jacksonville

85—86

South Carolina State

South Carolina State by 1 • 74.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

JacksonvilleTEAM STATSouth Carolina State

26-53FG33-75

49.0%FG%44.0%

7-203PT7-24

35.0%3PT%29.0%

26-36FT13-23

72.0%FT%57.0%

29Rebounds50

10Offensive Rebounds29

11Assists20

16Turnovers16

12Steals6

2Blocks3

27Fouls28

Player Box Score

Jacksonville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robert McCray V	G	41	7-18	1-5	7-10	5	6	5	0	22
Jarius Cook	Guard	34	6-9	4-7	5-6	1	0	0	0	21
Marcus Niblack	G	20	4-7	1-3	4-4	1	2	2	0	13
Stephon Payne	F	30	2-3	0-0	5-6	7	0	2	0	9
Donovan Rivers	F	35	2-2	0-0	4-6	7	0	1	1	8
DeeJuan Pruitt	Forward	26	3-3	0-0	0-2	4	1	1	1	6
Gyasi Powell	Guard	32	2-11	1-5	0-0	3	2	1	0	5
Josiah Sabino	G	7	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1

South Carolina State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael Teal	G	21	6-7	3-3	2-3	0	0	0	0	17
Caleb McCarty	F	37	5-7	0-0	4-7	14	3	1	1	14
Mitchell Taylor	G	29	6-11	0-1	2-2	3	2	0	0	14
Shaman Alston	Guard	28	5-11	1-4	0-1	4	4	0	0	11
Atiba Taylor	Guard	20	3-9	1-3	3-4	3	3	1	0	10
Wilson Dubinsky	G	23	2-11	2-10	0-0	0	4	3	0	6
James Morrow	G	16	2-4	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	0	6
Drayton Jones	C	23	2-5	0-0	0-2	10	1	0	2	4
Davion Everett	F	20	2-7	0-0	0-2	5	2	1	0	4
Raquan Brown	Guard	4	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Omar Croskey	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jordan Simpson	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.5Possessions74.5

114.1Offensive Efficiency115.4

115.4Defensive Efficiency114.1

-1.3Net Efficiency1.3

55.7%Effective FG%48.7%

60.6%True Shooting %50.0%

21.0%Turnover Rate21.9%

67.9%Free Throw Rate30.7%

37.7%3-Point Rate32.0%

0.69Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

South Carolina State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 74.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.