UMBC

24-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

68.6%UMBC

31.4%Saint Peter's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUMBC -3.6

PROJECTED TOTAL138.3

MODEL MONEYLINEUMBC -218

Saint Peter's

17-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUMBC 71

Projected Total138.3

Projected ScoreSaint Peter's 67

Team Comparison

UMBCMetricSaint Peter's

59.1MMH Power Index47.5

113.0Offensive Efficiency106.6

99.0Defensive Efficiency103.0

14.0Net Efficiency3.6

-5.6Strength of Schedule-3.8

24.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.5

65.5Tempo66.4

54.3%Effective FG%47.6%

14.3%Turnover Rate17.5%

25.2%Offensive Rebound %36.8%

34.1%Free Throw Rate36.6%

9.1Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–47.5), offensive efficiency (113.0–106.6), defensive efficiency (99.0–103.0), net efficiency (14.0–3.6).

Saint Peter's COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.8–-5.6), offensive rebounding (36.8–25.2), free throw rate (36.6–34.1).

Final

UMBC

60—66

Saint Peter's

Saint Peter's by 6 • 69.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UMBCTEAM STATSaint Peter's

23-48FG22-69

48.0%FG%32.0%

5-173PT2-21

29.0%3PT%10.0%

9-18FT20-28

50.0%FT%71.0%

40Rebounds40

8Offensive Rebounds19

10Assists6

21Turnovers6

3Steals14

5Blocks—

18Fouls14

Player Box Score

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dion Brown	G	37	8-16	3-7	5-7	8	4	0	0	24
Khydarius Smith	Center	20	6-10	0-0	1-4	5	0	0	0	13
Bryce Johnson	Guard	15	3-3	1-1	1-2	4	0	0	1	8
Max Lorca-Lloyd	Center	20	2-4	0-0	2-3	4	1	0	3	6
Ashton Reese	Guard	20	2-4	1-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	5
Ace Valentine	G	38	2-5	0-2	0-0	7	1	2	0	4
Marcus Banks Jr.	G	23	0-3	0-2	0-2	1	1	1	1	0
Marlon Short	Guard	16	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Devan Sapp	Guard	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	0

Saint Peter's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Latrell Reid	Guard	35	6-18	0-2	8-9	3	3	8	20
Corey Washington	F	24	3-7	0-2	6-6	4	0	0	12
Michael Houge	F	22	4-11	0-2	1-4	7	0	0	9
Roy Clarke	Guard	16	3-6	0-1	3-4	3	0	0	9
Armoni Zeigler	G	17	3-9	0-3	0-0	3	2	1	6
Stephon Roberts	Forward	18	1-1	0-0	2-2	4	0	1	4
Brent Bland	G	30	1-8	1-5	0-3	5	1	3	3
Marcus Randolph	Guard	19	1-6	1-5	0-0	1	0	0	3
Mouhamed Sow	F	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	8	0	0	0
Elijah Wood	Guard	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0
Elijah Perkins	G	2	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.4Possessions69.4

86.5Offensive Efficiency95.1

95.1Defensive Efficiency86.5

-8.6Net Efficiency8.6

53.1%Effective FG%33.3%

53.1%True Shooting %40.1%

30.2%Turnover Rate8.7%

37.5%Free Throw Rate40.6%

35.4%3-Point Rate30.4%

0.48Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Saint Peter's won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 69.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.