Austin Peay

22-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.1%Austin Peay

61.9%Southern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Illinois -3.1

PROJECTED TOTAL150.4

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Illinois -162

Southern Illinois

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAustin Peay 74

Projected Total150.4

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 77

Team Comparison

Austin PeayMetricSouthern Illinois

54.8MMH Power Index54.6

115.0Offensive Efficiency103.4

103.1Defensive Efficiency98.5

11.9Net Efficiency4.9

-5.8Strength of Schedule1.6

8.1Last 10 Net Efficiency7.7

71.0Tempo70.6

53.9%Effective FG%49.5%

15.3%Turnover Rate17.0%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

39.0%Free Throw Rate32.3%

8.4Average Margin3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Austin Peay HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAustin Peay holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.8–54.6), offensive efficiency (115.0–103.4), net efficiency (11.9–4.9), recent form (8.1–7.7).

Southern Illinois COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (98.5–103.1), strength of schedule (1.6–-5.8), offensive rebounding (31.1–30.3).

Final

Austin Peay

70—68

Southern Illinois

Austin Peay by 2 • 61.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Austin PeayTEAM STATSouthern Illinois

28-59FG23-53

47.0%FG%43.0%

9-233PT6-17

39.0%3PT%35.0%

5-9FT16-18

56.0%FT%89.0%

30Rebounds35

8Offensive Rebounds10

16Assists15

6Turnovers10

7Steals3

7Blocks2

16Fouls13

Player Box Score

Austin Peay

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ja'Monta Black	Guard	40	6-10	6-10	4-5	2	2	2	0	22
Dezi Jones	Guard	36	5-14	2-7	0-0	8	7	1	2	12
DeMarcus Sharp	Guard	35	6-19	0-2	0-1	4	3	1	3	12
Daniel Loos	Forward	27	4-4	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	1	8
Dez White	G	29	3-6	1-4	0-0	2	2	1	0	7
Sai Witt	Forward	13	3-5	0-0	1-3	5	1	1	0	7
Hansel Enmanuel	PG	20	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	1	2

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Xavier Johnson	Guard	40	9-18	2-5	11-12	7	8	0	0	31
Troy D'Amico	Forward	40	5-10	0-1	0-0	5	3	0	1	10
Clarence Rupert	Forward	26	4-8	0-0	2-3	6	1	0	1	10
Kennard Davis Jr.	G	30	3-8	3-6	0-0	8	0	1	0	9
Trent Brown	Guard	34	0-2	0-2	3-3	2	2	0	0	3
Jovan Stulic	Guard	19	1-5	1-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Trey Miller	G	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

61.5Possessions61.5

113.8Offensive Efficiency110.6

110.6Defensive Efficiency113.8

3.3Net Efficiency-3.3

55.1%Effective FG%49.1%

55.3%True Shooting %55.2%

9.8%Turnover Rate16.2%

15.3%Free Throw Rate34.0%

39.0%3-Point Rate32.1%

2.67Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Austin Peay won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 61.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.