Marshall

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.0%Marshall

78.0%Toledo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -8.1

PROJECTED TOTAL162.3

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -355

Toledo

19-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMarshall 77

Projected Total162.3

Projected ScoreToledo 85

Team Comparison

MarshallMetricToledo

52MMH Power Index58.8

114.7Offensive Efficiency116.0

110.3Defensive Efficiency109.6

4.4Net Efficiency6.4

0.9Strength of Schedule2.3

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency10.2

70.7Tempo69.8

55.2%Effective FG%55.1%

16.5%Turnover Rate14.6%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %30.4%

29.7%Free Throw Rate30.3%

3.1Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–52.0), offensive efficiency (116.0–114.7), defensive efficiency (109.6–110.3), net efficiency (6.4–4.4).

Marshall COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (55.2–55.1), offensive rebounding (32.1–30.4).

Final

Marshall

87—88

Toledo

Toledo by 1 • 75.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MarshallTEAM STATToledo

32-73FG34-67

44.0%FG%51.0%

13-333PT9-20

39.0%3PT%45.0%

10-11FT11-14

91.0%FT%79.0%

36Rebounds41

10Offensive Rebounds10

20Assists19

8Turnovers11

7Steals7

4Blocks2

14Fouls10

Player Box Score

Marshall

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Obinna Anochili-Killen	Forward	37	8-11	3-3	6-6	6	2	2	2	25
Kamdyn Curfman	Guard	37	6-15	5-11	2-3	2	9	0	0	19
Kevon Voyles	Guard	37	8-20	3-9	0-0	3	3	2	0	19
Nate Martin	Forward	27	4-7	0-0	0-0	9	3	1	1	8
Jacob Conner	F	26	3-6	2-4	0-0	4	1	0	0	8
Cam Crawford	G	22	2-12	0-6	2-2	3	2	1	1	6
Ryan Nutter	Guard	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Kycen Pruett	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Chase McKey	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Goran Miladinovic	Center	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Cochran	G	32	13-16	2-3	5-5	8	5	4	0	33
Dante Maddox Jr.	Guard	34	7-15	4-9	0-0	2	4	3	0	18
Ra'Heim Moss	Guard	36	5-12	1-4	5-7	12	4	0	1	16
Javan Simmons	F	31	7-13	1-1	0-0	2	3	0	1	15
Andre Lorentsson	Forward	13	1-2	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Grgur Brcic	F	9	1-2	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	3
Sonny Wilson	G	30	0-6	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Bryce Ford	G	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Sam Lewis	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.5Possessions75.5

115.2Offensive Efficiency116.6

116.6Defensive Efficiency115.2

-1.3Net Efficiency1.3

52.7%Effective FG%57.5%

55.6%True Shooting %59.7%

10.5%Turnover Rate14.7%

15.1%Free Throw Rate20.9%

45.2%3-Point Rate29.9%

2.50Assist / Turnover1.73

Game Summary

Toledo won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 75.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.