Murray State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

62.1%Murray State

37.9%Mississippi State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMurray State -2.9

PROJECTED TOTAL166.3

MODEL MONEYLINEMurray State -164

Mississippi State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMurray State 85

Projected Total166.3

Projected ScoreMississippi State 82

Team Comparison

Murray StateMetricMississippi State

53.6MMH Power Index44.6

115.0Offensive Efficiency107.4

111.0Defensive Efficiency113.2

4.0Net Efficiency-5.8

3.5Strength of Schedule5.0

-9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-17.5

72.3Tempo72.3

54.0%Effective FG%51.6%

16.3%Turnover Rate16.1%

32.7%Offensive Rebound %29.8%

39.1%Free Throw Rate30.9%

2.9Average Margin-4.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Murray State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMurray State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–44.6), offensive efficiency (115.0–107.4), defensive efficiency (111.0–113.2), net efficiency (4.0–-5.8).

Mississippi State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.0–3.5), ball security (16.1–16.3).

Final

Murray State

81—85

Mississippi State

Mississippi State by 4 • 66.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Murray StateTEAM STATMississippi State

28-55FG27-46

51.0%FG%59.0%

12-233PT7-20

52.0%3PT%35.0%

13-17FT24-34

76.0%FT%71.0%

20Rebounds29

6Offensive Rebounds7

18Assists19

10Turnovers10

3Steals5

—Blocks5

21Fouls15

Player Box Score

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Rob Perry	Guard	34	7-14	5-9	2-2	2	3	1	21
JaCobi Wood	Guard	40	5-12	3-6	5-7	2	10	1	18
Quincy Anderson	Guard	32	5-9	2-4	5-6	3	0	0	17
Brian Moore Jr.	G	14	4-8	0-0	1-1	2	0	0	9
Malek Abdelgowad	F	24	3-5	0-0	0-1	5	1	0	6
Patrick Chew	Guard	24	2-3	2-3	0-0	3	0	0	6
Nick Ellington	F	16	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	4
Justin Morgan	Guard	14	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0
Lawrent Rice	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Shakeel Moore	Guard	22	5-5	2-2	4-5	1	2	1	0	16
Josh Hubbard	G	21	3-8	3-7	6-8	3	0	0	2	15
Cameron Matthews	Forward	22	5-7	0-0	3-6	5	1	0	0	13
D.J. Jeffries	Forward	29	3-7	0-3	5-8	12	4	0	0	11
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	17	3-4	1-2	0-0	0	1	1	0	7
Dashawn Davis	Guard	30	1-5	0-4	4-5	2	5	2	0	6
Jimmy Bell Jr.	Forward	26	2-3	0-0	2-2	3	2	1	3	6
KeShawn Murphy	F	15	2-4	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	4
Trey Fort	G	5	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Andrew Taylor	Guard	7	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	3
Gai Chol	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Jaquan Scott	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.2Possessions66.2

122.4Offensive Efficiency128.4

128.4Defensive Efficiency122.4

-6.0Net Efficiency6.0

61.8%Effective FG%66.3%

64.2%True Shooting %68.4%

14.9%Turnover Rate15.3%

30.9%Free Throw Rate73.9%

41.8%3-Point Rate43.5%

1.80Assist / Turnover1.90

Game Summary

Mississippi State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 66.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.