UTSA

5-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.8%UTSA

88.2%Little Rock

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLittle Rock -13.9

PROJECTED TOTAL148.8

MODEL MONEYLINELittle Rock -747

Little Rock

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUTSA 67

Projected Total148.8

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 81

Team Comparison

UTSAMetricLittle Rock

30.5MMH Power Index44

99.0Offensive Efficiency103.0

115.0Defensive Efficiency108.2

-16.0Net Efficiency-5.2

-1.2Strength of Schedule0.5

-17.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.7

70.2Tempo68.5

45.9%Effective FG%50.3%

17.0%Turnover Rate18.7%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

29.9%Free Throw Rate28.6%

-11.3Average Margin-3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Little Rock HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLittle Rock holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.0–30.5), offensive efficiency (103.0–99.0), defensive efficiency (108.2–115.0), net efficiency (-5.2–-16.0).

UTSA COUNTERS WITHball security (17.0–18.7), free throw rate (29.9–28.6).

Final

UTSA

84—93

Little Rock

Little Rock by 9 • 74.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UTSATEAM STATLittle Rock

25-60FG29-58

42.0%FG%50.0%

14-343PT9-18

41.0%3PT%50.0%

20-28FT26-30

71.0%FT%87.0%

35Rebounds35

10Offensive Rebounds7

14Assists12

11Turnovers10

3Steals4

4Blocks2

22Fouls20

Player Box Score

UTSA

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Christian Tucker	Guard	38	6-10	4-5	7-8	4	3	1	0	23
Isaiah Wyatt	Guard	36	3-9	3-8	7-8	9	1	0	0	16
PJ Carter	G	29	4-10	3-6	1-2	2	2	0	0	12
Dre Fuller Jr.	Guard	26	4-11	2-7	2-2	3	5	1	0	12
Carlton Linguard Jr.	Center	31	4-13	2-7	0-0	8	3	1	2	10
Trey Edmonds	Center	19	2-2	0-0	2-6	6	0	0	0	6
Nazar Mahmoud	G	2	1-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	3
Massal Diouf	Forward	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Chandler Cuthrell	F	16	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	2	0

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bradley Douglas	G	33	6-14	2-4	6-7	7	3	0	1	20
Jordan Jefferson	Guard	19	3-10	2-4	9-10	2	2	1	0	17
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	39	5-11	1-4	4-5	6	0	2	0	15
Cougar Downing	G	19	3-3	1-1	2-2	2	1	0	0	9
DeAntoni Gordon	Forward	19	3-5	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Creed Williamson	Forward	22	2-4	0-0	0-0	7	1	0	0	4
Kristiyan Popov	Guard	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	3	1	1	0
Pavle Kuzmanovic	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.8Possessions74.8

112.3Offensive Efficiency124.3

124.3Defensive Efficiency112.3

-12.0Net Efficiency12.0

53.3%Effective FG%57.8%

57.3%True Shooting %64.4%

14.8%Turnover Rate13.3%

46.7%Free Throw Rate51.7%

56.7%3-Point Rate31.0%

1.27Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

Little Rock won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 74.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.