Alabama State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.0%Alabama State

91.0%LSU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLSU -15.6

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINELSU -1011

LSU

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama State 71

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreLSU 87

Team Comparison

Alabama StateMetricLSU

38MMH Power Index54.2

101.7Offensive Efficiency115.5

107.4Defensive Efficiency111.3

-5.7Net Efficiency4.2

-6.2Strength of Schedule4.5

0.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-12.8

71.9Tempo70.5

48.2%Effective FG%53.4%

18.2%Turnover Rate15.6%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

35.8%Free Throw Rate41.9%

-4.1Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

LSU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLSU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–38.0), offensive efficiency (115.5–101.7), net efficiency (4.2–-5.7), strength of schedule (4.5–-6.2).

Alabama State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.4–111.3), recent form (0.0–-12.8).

Final

Alabama State

56—74

LSU

LSU by 18 • 66.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Alabama StateTEAM STATLSU

22-61FG25-48

36.0%FG%52.0%

9-263PT9-23

35.0%3PT%39.0%

3-8FT15-23

38.0%FT%65.0%

30Rebounds37

11Offensive Rebounds7

10Assists11

13Turnovers14

5Steals9

1Blocks3

18Fouls16

Player Box Score

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Madlock	Guard	33	7-16	3-4	1-4	7	1	1	0	18
Isaiah Range	Guard	33	5-15	3-10	2-4	1	3	0	0	15
CJ Hines	G	32	5-12	3-6	0-0	3	3	2	0	13
Sean Smith	G	11	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Amarr Knox	G	11	2-4	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	4
Ubong Okon	C	31	1-2	0-0	0-0	14	1	0	1	2
Eric Coleman	Forward	18	0-4	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Micah Octave	G	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
JaSteven Walker	F	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Darrell Reed	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kendal Parker	G	4	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

LSU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mike Williams III	G	32	6-10	3-5	0-0	1	3	2	1	15
Jordan Wright	Guard	36	4-12	4-9	1-2	5	6	1	0	13
Jalen Reed	F	29	3-3	0-0	7-11	7	0	1	0	13
Trae Hannibal	Guard	22	4-5	1-2	2-2	2	0	3	0	11
Derek Fountain	Forward	20	2-3	1-2	3-4	6	0	1	0	8
Will Baker	Forward	18	3-9	0-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	6
Hunter Dean	Forward	13	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	4
Mwani Wilkinson	Guard	18	1-3	0-2	0-0	6	0	0	1	2
Carlos Stewart Jr.	Guard	8	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	1	1	0	1
Tyrell Ward	G	4	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

66.4Possessions66.4

84.3Offensive Efficiency111.4

111.4Defensive Efficiency84.3

-27.1Net Efficiency27.1

43.4%Effective FG%61.5%

43.2%True Shooting %62.8%

19.5%Turnover Rate21.2%

13.1%Free Throw Rate47.9%

42.6%3-Point Rate47.9%

0.77Assist / Turnover0.79

Game Summary

LSU won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 66.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.