Texas State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.2%Texas State

77.8%Sam Houston

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSam Houston -9.2

PROJECTED TOTAL153.3

MODEL MONEYLINESam Houston -350

Sam Houston

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas State 72

Projected Total153.3

Projected ScoreSam Houston 81

Team Comparison

Texas StateMetricSam Houston

49.4MMH Power Index56.1

107.7Offensive Efficiency115.5

103.4Defensive Efficiency105.5

4.3Net Efficiency10.0

-4.7Strength of Schedule-2.2

9.1Last 10 Net Efficiency3.2

68.6Tempo71.2

51.3%Effective FG%53.2%

18.4%Turnover Rate16.6%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

36.0%Free Throw Rate34.8%

2.9Average Margin7.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Sam Houston HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSam Houston holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.1–49.4), offensive efficiency (115.5–107.7), net efficiency (10.0–4.3), strength of schedule (-2.2–-4.7).

Texas State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.4–105.5), recent form (9.1–3.2), free throw rate (36.0–34.8).

Final

Texas State

73—60

Sam Houston

Texas State by 13 • 68.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas StateTEAM STATSam Houston

26-49FG24-63

53.0%FG%38.0%

6-143PT4-19

43.0%3PT%21.0%

15-23FT8-10

65.0%FT%80.0%

33Rebounds32

8Offensive Rebounds14

14Assists11

16Turnovers16

10Steals5

3Blocks—

19Fouls19

Player Box Score

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Dawson	Guard	38	8-13	5-10	2-2	1	1	1	0	23
Jordan Mason	G	33	5-11	0-0	8-12	4	5	3	0	18
Brandon Love	Forward	23	5-7	0-0	0-0	1	0	3	3	10
Kaden Gumbs	G	38	3-6	0-0	2-4	7	6	3	0	8
Chris Nix	Forward	18	2-3	0-0	1-3	4	1	0	0	5
Elijah Tate	Guard	6	1-3	0-2	2-2	1	0	0	0	4
Christian Turner	Forward	27	1-4	1-2	0-0	8	0	0	0	3
Dontae Horne	G	4	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Joshua O'Garro	G	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Sam Houston

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Lamar Wilkerson	G	31	6-15	2-7	2-2	5	1	1	16
Souleymane Doumbia	Forward	22	7-11	0-0	0-0	7	1	1	14
Cameron Huefner	Forward	20	4-9	1-4	0-0	2	1	0	9
Marcus Boykin	Guard	18	2-4	0-1	4-4	1	1	0	8
Jaden Ray	Guard	24	2-4	0-0	1-2	2	2	0	5
Anthony Wrzeszcz	G	10	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	3
Davon Barnes	Not Available	23	1-8	0-3	0-0	2	0	1	2
Kian Scroggins	Forward	18	1-5	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	2
Damon Nicholas Jr.	G	24	0-5	0-2	1-2	2	2	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

68.9Possessions68.9

106.0Offensive Efficiency87.1

87.1Defensive Efficiency106.0

18.9Net Efficiency-18.9

59.2%Effective FG%41.3%

60.9%True Shooting %44.3%

23.6%Turnover Rate22.9%

46.9%Free Throw Rate15.9%

28.6%3-Point Rate30.2%

0.88Assist / Turnover0.69

Game Summary

Texas State won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 68.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.