Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.3%Cal State Bakersfield

89.7%Fresno State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFresno State -15.3

PROJECTED TOTAL152.6

MODEL MONEYLINEFresno State -871

Fresno State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 69

Projected Total152.6

Projected ScoreFresno State 84

Team Comparison

Cal State BakersfieldMetricFresno State

32.2MMH Power Index47.1

100.2Offensive Efficiency104.9

112.6Defensive Efficiency104.9

-12.4Net Efficiency0.0

-1.7Strength of Schedule1.5

-18.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.0

73.0Tempo69.4

46.4%Effective FG%51.3%

18.6%Turnover Rate18.2%

30.2%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

43.8%Free Throw Rate35.5%

-9.1Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fresno State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFresno State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.1–32.2), offensive efficiency (104.9–100.2), defensive efficiency (104.9–112.6), net efficiency (0.0–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (30.2–28.2), free throw rate (43.8–35.5).

Final

Cal State Bakersfield

58—61

Fresno State

Fresno State by 3 • 62.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State BakersfieldTEAM STATFresno State

23-56FG24-49

41.0%FG%49.0%

2-93PT5-21

22.0%3PT%24.0%

10-19FT8-15

53.0%FT%53.0%

39Rebounds26

15Offensive Rebounds5

8Assists15

13Turnovers10

5Steals5

2Blocks2

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kaleb Higgins	Guard	32	7-19	0-2	3-6	5	5	1	0	17
Ugnius Jarusevicius	F	14	5-5	0-0	1-3	5	0	2	1	11
Fidelis Okereke	Forward	31	3-6	0-0	3-5	3	1	0	1	9
Dalph Panopio	Guard	18	2-2	1-1	2-3	4	0	1	0	7
Cameron Wilbon	Guard	23	3-8	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	6
Marvin McGhee III	G	29	1-5	1-5	0-0	4	1	1	0	3
Modestas Kancleris	Forward	10	1-1	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	3
Tom Mark	F	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Kareem Watson	F	24	0-4	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	0
Naseem Gaskin	Guard	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Jaden Alexander	G	7	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Hill	Guard	36	5-12	1-7	2-4	3	9	0	0	13
Donavan Yap	Guard	27	5-7	0-0	2-3	0	1	3	0	12
Xavier DuSell	Guard	34	4-11	3-9	0-0	2	2	0	0	11
Enoch Boakye	Forward	29	5-7	0-0	1-2	8	0	0	1	11
Isaac Taveras	G	14	3-6	0-1	1-4	1	1	0	0	7
Leo Colimerio	Forward	28	1-3	0-1	2-2	2	1	0	0	4
Jalen Weaver	Guard	7	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Isaiah Pope	Guard	19	0-2	0-2	0-0	6	1	2	0	0
Pierre Geneste Jr.	C	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.1Possessions62.1

93.4Offensive Efficiency98.2

98.2Defensive Efficiency93.4

-4.8Net Efficiency4.8

42.9%Effective FG%54.1%

44.6%True Shooting %54.3%

20.6%Turnover Rate16.4%

33.9%Free Throw Rate30.6%

16.1%3-Point Rate42.9%

0.62Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Fresno State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 62.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.