Portland State

20-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.7%Portland State

34.3%San Diego

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPortland State -4.3

PROJECTED TOTAL151.5

MODEL MONEYLINEPortland State -192

San Diego

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePortland State 78

Projected Total151.5

Projected ScoreSan Diego 74

Team Comparison

Portland StateMetricSan Diego

50.2MMH Power Index39.8

109.3Offensive Efficiency106.2

100.2Defensive Efficiency111.1

9.1Net Efficiency-4.9

-5.6Strength of Schedule-1.2

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-12.2

70.1Tempo70.1

51.7%Effective FG%52.0%

16.6%Turnover Rate17.8%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

36.8%Free Throw Rate26.3%

6.4Average Margin-3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Portland State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPortland State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.2–39.8), offensive efficiency (109.3–106.2), defensive efficiency (100.2–111.1), net efficiency (9.1–-4.9).

San Diego COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.2–-5.6), shooting efficiency (52.0–51.7).

Final

Portland State

65—69

San Diego

San Diego by 4 • 69.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Portland StateTEAM STATSan Diego

21-60FG23-58

35.0%FG%40.0%

12-313PT6-13

39.0%3PT%46.0%

11-15FT17-24

73.0%FT%71.0%

34Rebounds45

9Offensive Rebounds13

14Assists10

11Turnovers13

5Steals6

8Blocks3

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Johnson	Forward	28	5-10	1-1	5-7	6	1	2	1	16
Bobby Harvey	Guard	27	5-8	5-8	0-0	6	1	0	1	15
Ismail Habib	G	39	4-13	3-10	2-2	3	4	0	0	13
KJ Allen	Forward	30	2-10	0-1	3-4	3	2	0	1	7
Isiah Kirby	Guard	18	2-4	1-2	0-0	1	4	0	1	5
Jorell Saterfield	Guard	22	1-6	1-6	0-0	3	2	1	1	3
Hunter Woods	Forward	14	1-4	1-3	0-0	3	0	1	1	3
Hayden Curtiss	Center	15	1-4	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	2	2
Kendall Munson	Forward	6	0-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Keshaun Saunders	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Wayne McKinney III	Guard	34	6-12	0-2	9-11	6	5	1	0	21
Kevin Patton Jr.	G	28	5-7	2-2	2-3	5	2	1	2	14
Deuce Turner	G	30	4-15	3-7	2-3	6	1	0	0	13
Steven Jamerson II	F	33	4-9	0-0	2-4	10	0	0	1	10
David Simon	F	12	3-5	1-1	0-1	5	0	1	0	7
Jimmy Oladokun Jr.	F	12	0-5	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Keyon Kensie Jr.	G	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Dominic Muncey	Guard	26	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	2	0	0
Deven Dahlke	Guard	14	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	2	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.3Possessions69.3

93.8Offensive Efficiency99.6

99.6Defensive Efficiency93.8

-5.8Net Efficiency5.8

45.0%Effective FG%44.8%

48.4%True Shooting %49.7%

15.9%Turnover Rate18.7%

25.0%Free Throw Rate41.4%

51.7%3-Point Rate22.4%

1.27Assist / Turnover0.77

Game Summary

San Diego won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 69.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.